前言：
Preface:
有节制地、理性地应用我们谈到的原则建立投资组合,而不是只凭情绪或肤浅的思考。投资组合是一个变量,通过调整投资方法来适应快速变化的市场环境才是上策.
在过去24小时内，整个市场的交易量为752亿美金，比前一天减少了约100亿，截止发稿，比特币即时价格34370，下面是具体分析。
In the last 24 hours, the volume of transactions in the market as a whole was $75.2 billion, about $10 billion less than the previous day, and by the time of the submission, the instant price of Bitcoin was 34370, as detailed below.
比特币行情分析
BitcoinAnalysis
前两天还岌岌可危的盘面，一转眼又来到了35000点附近，值得一提的是，这一波拉升毫无预兆，但是从量能上看是实打实的放量拉升。另外，这两天国内还在酝酿一个传说中的大利空，据说7月前会出来，导致很多散户普遍看跌后市，在这种情况下，我们以盘面为主即可。盘面上看，下方支撑33500点，上方压力35500点，目前来看，继续反弹的概率较大。总结一下，关注35500点压力位。
It is worth mentioning that the bloated rise was no sign of any prospect, but in terms of volume, it was a solid boost. Moreover, the country is still developing a legendary niche that will come out before July, which is said to have caused many scattered households to look at the post-market generally, in which case we will focus on the plate. On the table, 33,500 points are held and the pressure level 35,500 above is now high. In summary, attention will be paid to the 35,500 points of pressure.
近期国内在全面清退虚拟货币挖矿，其中占大头的当属比特币，但同时也不禁让人想起前段时间，萨尔瓦多宣布将比特币作为他们国家的法定货币，近日萨尔瓦多又有了“小动作”，当然只是在他们国家内部，6月27日萨尔瓦多宣布将向任何激活其支持的Chivo的加密货币钱包的公民分发价值约30美元的比特币，对一个人均年收入约为4000美元的国家来说，这已经是一项重大的激励措施了。
In the recent period, the country had been engaged in a complete withdrawal of virtual currency, the bulk of which belonged to bitcoin, but it was also reminiscent of the previous period, when El Salvador had announced the use of bitcoin as the legal currency of their country and, of course, a “small move” in recent days. It was only within their country that El Salvador had announced on 27 June that it would distribute bitcoins valued at about $30 to any citizen who activated Chivo's encrypted wallet, which was already a major incentive for a country with an annual per capita income of about $4,000.
但是只要最近几个月一直关注着比特币指标的朋友，应该都会对这个数字产生怀疑。在4月的时候，单笔比特币交易的平均手续费达到了接近63美元的峰值。4月下旬的两周时间内，比特币的手续费在30美元或接近30美元，在此期间，用30美元的比特币钱包做任何事情都太慢或太贵。
In April, the average bill for a single bitcoin transaction peaked at nearly $63. In late April, Bitcoin’s fees were $30 or nearly $30, and in the meantime, everything was either too slow or too expensive to do with a $30 Bitcoin wallet.
以美元计算，链上手续费已经降至7美元以下，尽管仍然处于历史高位，但仍在可控范围内。比特币手续费波动的原因是，它们实际上是由区块空间的竞标过程设定的。在像4月份这样价格剧烈波动的时期，需要快速确认交易的投机者可以把手续费提高。即使在更稳定的时期，链上比特币转账的平均手续费从50美分到2美元不等，与西联汇款等全球汇款提供商的手续费相比，这是非常实惠的，但对于一个穷国的小额日常支付来说，还是太高了。
In dollar terms, the fees on the chain have been reduced to below $7, although still at historically high levels, and remain manageable. Bitcoins fluctuate because they are actually set by competitive bidding processes in block space. During periods such as April, speculators needing rapid confirmation of transactions can raise fees.
面对这种局面，低收入和高收入用户之间的手续费竞争是一个真实存在的问题，但幸运的是，萨尔瓦多的用户将有两种方案来缓解这一局面。
Faced with this situation, fee competition between low-income and high-income users is a real problem, but fortunately El Salvador users will have two programmes to alleviate the situation.
最重要的是，萨尔瓦多的比特币开发合作伙伴 Strike 通过闪电网络提供低手续费的比特币支付。闪电网络是一个 Layer2 解决方案，建立在比特币区块链之上，但提供的比特币交易成本仅为几分之一美分。对于比特币来说，作为一个日常支付工具，闪电网络或类似的东西是必不可少的。
Most importantly, the Bitcoin development partner of El Salvador, Strike, provides low-cost Bitcoin payments through the Lightning Network. The Lightning Network is a Layer2 solution, built on the Bitcoin block chain, but provides only a fraction of the Bitcoin transaction cost. For Bitcoin, a lightning network or something like that is essential as a day-to-day payment tool.
汇款则略有不同。比特币网络的一个有趣但不太为人所知的特点是，你可以根据你希望交易结算的速度来选择支付手续费：高手续费的交易会先被打包确认，但低手续费的交易通常会在几个小时内才被打包确认。因此，对于汇款来说，有时可能没有零售支付那么紧急，这是第二个选择。
A interesting but less well-known feature of the Bitcoin network is that you can choose to pay fees according to the speed at which you want the transaction to be settled: high-cost transactions will be packaged first, but low-cost transactions will usually be packaged in a few hours. So, sometimes, for remittances, it may not be as urgent as retail payments, which is the second option.
这确实对萨尔瓦多的项目提出了一系列新问题，尤其是从教育的角度。他们的用户将不得不就如何进行交易做出一系列相当复杂的新决定，他们应该清楚地了解这些选择。可以肯定的是，CoinDesk 将密切关注 Strike 和萨尔瓦多的进展。
Indeed, this raises a number of new questions for El Salvador’s project, especially from an educational perspective. Their users will have to make a series of rather complex new decisions about how to make a deal, and they should have a clear understanding of these options.
没有不成功的投资，只有不成功的交易模式。投资不是盲目的，首先考虑的是风险，其次才是收益。玊尔常说的一句话：人的一生会碰到很多机会，但机会只给有准备的人。关于投资的很多东西不管我在这里说多少遍，不认可的人依然不认可，只有真正经历过的人，才知道其中的辛酸苦辣，就像读书一样，不管老师教的有多好，那张考卷还是得你自己去写、去交；投资亦是如此，但是如果有什么不懂的或者想咨询的，可以找玊尔聊一聊，市场在，玊尔就一直在。
There are no unsuccessful investments, only unsuccessful trading patterns.
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