币圈在2023年的上半年进入寒冬，但在年尾以及2024年年初价格开始回升，这似乎也意味着币圈牛市的即将到来，尤其是各种利好袭来伴随着比特币减半，更是让很多投资者认为币圈牛市就是2024年。但也有人认为是2025年，究竟币圈牛市2024还是2025年？成为了近期最热门的话题。根据资料分析来看，牛市是从2024年开始的，但结合比特币ETF的审批、美联储加息等一些外部的客观因素，币圈牛市极大可能会延续至2025年。接下来币圈子小编为大家详细说说。
In the first half of 2023, currency rings entered a cold winter, but prices began to recover at the end of the year and at the beginning of 2024, which also seems to mean that the market is about to come, especially if the profits are accompanied by the halving of bitcoins, and many investors think that the market is 2024. It is also thought to be 2025, 2024 or 2025.
币圈牛市是2024年开始的，因为比特币减半事件即将在2024年发生，很多人都认为2024年币圈牛市出现。但并不是每次比特币减半之后都是牛市，比特币的减半是一种重要的事件，通常被认为会影响比特币市场的供应和需求动态，它不是牛市的唯一决定因素。市场在不同的时间段受到多种因素的影响，因此无法简单地根据减半事件来预测牛市。
The market began in 2024, because the halving of Bitcoin is about to take place in 2024, and many believe that the market will emerge in 2024. But not every time it is halved, and the halving of bitcoin is an important event, often considered to have an impact on the supply and demand dynamics of the Bitcoin market, which is not the only determinant of the market.
比特币/BTC减半可能会在牛市中发生，也可能在熊市中发生。在历史上，比特币减半通常会伴随着价格上涨，但这不是绝对的规律，而是因为市场和其他因素的复杂影响。比特币市场的走势受到众多因素的影响，包括全球经济状况、采用率、法规、市场情绪和其他加密货币市场的影响等。
Historically, halving the number of bitcoins has usually been accompanied by price increases, but this is not an absolute rule, but rather by the complex effects of markets and other factors. The movement of bitcoins has been influenced by a number of factors, including global economic conditions, adoption rates, regulations, market sentiment, and other encrypted currency markets.
从减半周期和美联储加息情况这两个维度来分析，回顾过往周期，币圈的牛市始终离不开政策+流动性+叙事这三个要素，目前并不满足这三个要素中的任何一个，面对下轮行情，我们要以长远的目光应对行情，此外，监管所带来的变数也意味着在加密货币内部也会出现差异化的行情。
Looking at the two dimensions of the halving cycle and the Federal Reserve interest increase, looking back at the past cycle, the bull market in the currency circle has always had to do with the three elements of policy + liquidity + narrative, which do not currently satisfy either of these three elements. In the face of the next round, we have to look at the situation with a long-term perspective. In addition, the regulatory variable also means that there will be variations within the encrypted currency.
币圈牛市来临前的5大征兆分别是大规模项目的上线、交易量的增加、技术指标的变化、媒体关注度的提升以及金融机构的涉足，下文是具体分析：
The five major signs before the advent of the market are, respectively, the up-to-date nature of large-scale projects, the increase in the volume of transactions, changes in technological indicators, increased media attention and the involvement of financial institutions, as analysed below:
1、大规模项目的上线
1. Online for large-scale projects
在币圈牛市即将到来之际，通常会有一些大规模的项目上线。这些项目可能是新的区块链应用、去中心化金融平台或者重要的合作伙伴关系。当这些项目被广泛关注和认可时，市场中的投资热情往往会迅速点燃，推动币价上涨。
These projects may be new block-chain applications, de-centralized financial platforms, or important partnerships. When these projects are widely received and recognized, the enthusiasm for investment in the market tends to ignite rapidly, pushing up currency prices.
2、交易量的增加
2. Increased volume of transactions
币圈牛市来临之前，通常会伴随着交易量的明显增加。当投资者的兴趣和热情高涨时，交易所的交易量会大幅攀升。这是由于投资者增加了对数字货币的交易操作，而交易所的交易量直接反映了市场的活跃程度。因此，持续增加的交易量是币圈牛市即将到来的一个重要征兆。
When investors’ interest and enthusiasm rises, exchanges increase significantly. This is because investors increase their operations for digital money, and the volume of exchanges directly reflects market activity.
3、技术指标的变化
3. Changes in technology indicators
市场中的技术指标可以为我们提供一些有用的信息，帮助我们判断市场走势。在币圈牛市即将来临之前，常见的技术指标如移动平均线、MACD等会出现一些明显的变化。比如，长期均线向上穿越短期均线，MACD柱状图的变大等等。这些技术指标的变化通常预示着市场情绪的转变，可能意味着牛市即将到来。
Technology indicators in the market can provide us with some useful information to help us judge market trends. Before the market is approaching, there will be some obvious changes in common technology indicators, such as moving averages, MACDs, etc. For example, long-term averages go up through short-term averages, the size of the MACD columns, and so on. Changes in these technological indicators usually signal a shift in market sentiment, which may mean that the market is coming.
4、媒体关注度的提升
4. Increased media attention
随着数字货币市场的热度不断上升，媒体对于币圈的关注也会明显增加。当媒体开始密集报道数字货币市场、区块链技术以及相关行业的发展时，这往往是一个币圈牛市即将到来的信号。媒体关注度的提升往往会吸引更多的投资者进入市场，从而推动价格上涨。
As the heat of the digital currency market rises, media attention to the currency circle increases markedly. As the media begin to report heavily on developments in the digital currency market, block chain technology, and related industries, it is often a signal of the impending rise in the currency-circumstances.
5、金融机构的涉足
5. Engagement of financial institutions
金融机构的参与对于数字货币市场来说是一个重要的标志。当大型金融机构开始涉足数字货币领域，投资者可以视其为牛市即将到来的一个征兆。金融机构的涉足意味着市场机会的增加，也会吸引更多的投资者进入市场，进而推动价格上涨。
As large financial institutions begin to move into the digital currency field, investors can see it as a sign of the coming of the cattle market. The presence of financial institutions implies an increase in market opportunities, which also attracts more investors to the market, thus driving up price increases.
以上全部内容就是对币圈牛市2024还是2025年这一问题的分析解答，不管牛市是2024年还是2025年，都预示着这两年将有大行情发生。但加密货币市场也是难以预测，其价格涨跌受到多种因素的影响，如宏观经济情况、全球政治事件、监管政策变化、技术发展等。尽管有一些分析师和预测机构可能提供其对未来市场走势的看法，但这些仅仅是预测，并不代表实际结果，因此投资者在投资时，应该考虑到市场的风险，并且在决策时应该有自己的投资策略和风险管理计划。
But the crypto-currency market is also difficult to predict, and its price increases and falls are influenced by a variety of factors, such as macroeconomics, global political events, regulatory policy changes, and technological developments. While some analysts and forecasters may provide their views on future market trends, these are only forecasts and do not represent real results, so investors should invest in markets that take market risks into account and that they should have their own investment strategies and risk management plans when making decisions.
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