房价涨、人民币跌、美元指数涨、美国大选，这是近几周经济相关的热门四个关键词了。碰巧的是最近随着人民币汇率下跌，国内最大的数字货币交易平台火币网上，比特币价格却上涨到了4300元之上，很多人就在推测这两者之间的因果关系了。
The rise in housing prices, the fall in the renminbi, the rise in the dollar index, and the United States general election are four key words associated with the economy in recent weeks. Coincidingly, with the decline in the renminbi’s exchange rate, the price of the biggest digital trading platform in the country has risen above $4,300, and a lot of people are guessing the causal link between the two.
那么，比特币和这些经济指标真的有关系吗？
So, does Bitcoin really have anything to do with these economic indicators?
互联网跟经济指标有极大的关系
The Internet has a great deal to do with economic indicators
我们人类做为一个社会化的物种，总体财富和信息的传递的关系是非常大的。一方面有效的信息沟通能够促进分工合作，进而促进财富的大发展；另一方面信息交流是商业的基础，商业又是财富的放大器；更了不起的是很多信息本身就是概念，而人类可以想象出大量的共同想象，比如股票、公司、货币等等，这些概念本身就是财富的代名词。可以说对信息的这三个维度的思考可以得出有效的结论，信息的流通和财富有极大的正相关性，信息流通越通畅，社会的总财富量就会越大。
We humans are a social species in which the overall wealth and the transmission of information are very important. On the one hand, effective communication of information can promote a division of labour and thus greater development of wealth; on the other hand, exchange of information is the basis of commerce, which is the magnifier of wealth; and, even more remarkable, much information is a concept itself, and humans can imagine a great deal of common imaginations, such as stocks, companies, money, etc., which are themselves a noun of wealth.
信息的流通是有阻力的，是有成本的。在远古时代，我们的语言系统还不够丰富，我们也没有除了声音和手势之外的沟通的工具，信息的交流成本非常高。而在现代工业社会之前，人类的交流也被物理位置限制了，绝大多数人一辈子都只能生活在自己村落方圆几十公里内。在这些年代里，信息的传播范围都被物理位置限制了。想想唐僧西天取经的故事，你就会知道信息的流通是多么困难，需要九九八十一难。信息传播很困难，广泛的贫穷是必然的。
In ancient times, our language systems were not rich enough, we did not have tools for communication other than voices and gestures, and the cost of communicating information was high. Before modern industrial societies, human communication was also limited by physical location, with the vast majority of people living within tens of kilometres of their villages for the rest of their lives. In these times, the spread of information was limited by physical location.
人类训化了马、训化了飞鸽、发明了烟火等信号工具、发明了汽车飞机，等等都极大的提交了信息的传播范围，也极大地促进了财富的发展。
Humans have taught horses, pigeons, signal tools such as fireworks, car airplanes, etc., and have greatly contributed to the spread of information and wealth.
但这还不够，直到互联网被发明了。互联网是人类历史上发明的最高效的信息传递技术，使得传递和获取信息的成本降到了非常非常低。这也是极大地促进了社会总财富的发展。
But that is not enough until the Internet is invented. The Internet is the most efficient information transfer technology in human history, reducing the cost of transmission and access to information to a very low level. It also contributes significantly to the development of the overall wealth of society.
现在你能说互联网跟经济没有关系吗？说到经济，专家们就讲国民经济总供给、总需求、GDP、物价水平、失业率、汇率、美元指数，甚至美国总统选举……经济学家们往往不去研究信息的传递和获取对经济的影响，这是错的。
Now, can you say that the Internet has nothing to do with the economy? When it comes to the economy, experts are wrong to talk about the total supply of the national economy, aggregate demand, GDP, price levels, unemployment rates, exchange rates, dollar indexes, and even US presidential elections. Economists often fail to study the impact of information transmission and access on the economy.
信息的传递和获取的难易程序直接影响了社会的总财富量，直接会对各种产业产生颠覆和重塑效应。互联网每一次重要升级，都伴随着人类生活方式的改变和社会财富量的改变。在PC机互联时代，大量网店涌现，带来了史无前例的巨大在线商城。在移动互联网时代，连纸币都接近消亡。
Each major upgrade of the Internet has been accompanied by changes in human lifestyles and changes in social wealth. In the era of PC connectivity, a large number of Internet shops have emerged, bringing about an unprecedentedly large online marketplace. In the age of mobile Internet, even paper coins are nearing extinction.
可以说，互联网和各类经济指标都有关系。但我们能人类能描述它们吗？描述不出来，目前还没有谁能发明一个信息传播速率和GDP的关系函数。
It can be said that the Internet is related to various economic indicators. But can we describe them as human beings? No one can at this point in time invent a function related to the rate of dissemination of information and GDP.
比特币跟经济指标有极大关系
bitcoin has a great deal to do with economic indicators
互联网极大的提高了信息传递和获取的速率和极大地降低了成本。但这还不够，到互联网阶段，信息传递足够高效，但价值传递还不够快。
The Internet has greatly increased the rate of transmission of and access to information and has significantly reduced costs. But this is not enough. At the Internet stage, the transmission of information is sufficiently efficient, but the transfer of value is not fast enough.
在很久很久以前，生活在一个村落里的人，村民相互借钱是需要找有威望的人来背书的，比如找村长。这种场景就是说村长的话就是可以传递价值的。到了互联网时代，信息也被一定程度上赋与了价值，但需要借助大机构的背书，比如银行、比如股票交易所。这些大机构做为第三方中介，赋与了如网银、股票等信息流于价值，这些价值可以在人民之间流通，这就提高了财富的流动性。
Once upon a time, people living in a village borrowed money from one another from one another to another, such as the village chief. This is a scene in which the village chief can pass value. In the age of the Internet, information is given some value, but it needs to be endorsed by large institutions, such as banks and stock exchanges. These large institutions act as third-party intermediaries, giving value to information such as online money, stocks, etc., that can circulate between people, which increases the liquidity of wealth.
价值的流动性提高极大地推动了财富的大爆炸。比如我们有了股票交易所，全民财富量立刻涨了一个大幅度。
The increase in value mobility has contributed significantly to the explosion of wealth. We have stock exchanges, for example, and the wealth of the entire population has risen dramatically.
但现在的借助互联网和大机构中介形成的信息价值流动还很低效，成本也非常高。银行的成本很高，股票交易所成本更高，这些机构要收我们很多的手续费。还有另一个问题是，目前的价值流通的被国界强行分割，国与国之间的财富流通非常非常低效和高昂的成本。
But the current flow of information of value through the Internet and large agency intermediaries is still very inefficient and costly. has a high cost, exchange costs are much higher.
以比特币为代表的区块链技术就是要让信息流通直接变成去中心化的价值流通。比特币让每一个人都可以跟全球任何一个人传递价值，成本非常低，效率非常高。借助物联网和区块链确权，财富和价值的流动可以在互联网上畅通无阻。
Bitcoin’s block chain technology is to turn the flow of information directly into decentralized value flows. Bitcoin allows everyone to pass on value to anyone around the world at very low cost and very efficient.
比特币和区块链技术将会极大地放大价值的流动效率，更会极大的推动社会财富的发展。这些当然和经济指标有关系。
Bitcoin and block chain technology will greatly increase the efficiency of the flow of values and contribute to the development of social wealth. These are, of course, economic indicators. & nbsp;
就拿人民币汇率大跌，火币网比特币价格上涨这回事来说。比特币是没有国界性的，哪个国家有比特币市场深度，那就是可以使用比特币来衡量其汇率波动性。比特币在中国和美国都有非常好的深度，最近人民币的汇率走低和美国指数走强，就在比特币上反映出来了。很明显，在火币网上比特币以人民币计价上涨的幅度就要远大于以美元计划上涨的幅度。而以人民币官方汇率来计算，在中国比特币的人民币价格兑成美元价格就要高于在美国的比特币市场价格。所以说，新闻说人民币贬值和比特币价格走高之间的相关性是有道理的。
In China and the United States, the bitcoin is very deep, and the recent decline in the renminbi’s exchange rate and the strong United States index are reflected in the bitcoin. It is clear that the increase in the currency’s value in the currency’s currency in the currency’s online currency is much greater than the planned increase in the dollar.
随着比特币发挥越来越大的作用，服务越来越多的人群，那比特币对经济的影响将和互联网对经济的影响一样。
As Bitcoin plays an ever-increasing role in serving a growing number of people, the impact of that bitcoin on the economy will be the same as the impact of the Internet on the economy.
和信息传播对经济的影响一样，我们也很难找到一个比特币和经济指标的函数关系。信息的传播对经济的影响是如此之大，价值和信息的相结合对经济的影响如此之大，但可惜的是经济学家都很难找到其中的确切的因果关系。
Like the impact of information dissemination on the economy, we find it difficult to find a function relationship between bitcoin and economic indicators. The impact of information dissemination on the economy is so great, the combined value and the impact on the economy is so great, but unfortunately it is difficult for economists to find a precise causal link.
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