拥有0.28枚比特币成为全球1％的富豪、以太坊十年或超越比特币市值

　　讯 : 区块链网站decrypt讨论了关于“进入1％俱乐部需要多少比特币”的问题，自己持有多少比特币才能进入富人的行列呢？

Message: The block chain website decrypt discusses “How much bitcoins do you need to get into the 1% club” and how much bitcoins do you own to get into the rich?

　　根据其结论显示，“比特币1％俱乐部”是指全球排名前1％的比特币持有者，如果要成为这1％，可能需要0.28枚至15枚比特币。

According to its conclusions, the “bitcoin 1 per cent club” refers to the top 1 per cent of the world's holders of bitcoin, which may require between 0.28 and 15 bitcoins if it is to become one per cent.

　　Blockworks Group的分析师Jake Levison早在去年2月份就提出了这一观点。如果您拥有0.28 BTC，那么从统计学上来说，您可以保证自己以BTC的方式位于世界上最富有的1％。

If you have 0.28 BTC, you can be statistically sure that you are at 1% of the richest in the world in the BTC way.

　　Levison的理由是“如果您拥有0.28 BTC，那么世界上只有1％的人将拥有比您更多的资产。因此，将您排在前1％。” 这个数字背后的基本原理，是按比特币的总量和全球人口数来计算的。谷歌前产品经理史蒂夫李在2018年称，如果比特币总量恒定的2100万枚按全世界人口75亿的1%来分配，正好是0.28枚比特币。

The reason for Levison is that “If you have 0.28 BTC, only 1% of the world’s population will have more assets than you do.” The rationale behind this figure is based on the amount of bitcoins and the global population. Pre-Google product manager Steve Lee said in 2018 that if the 21 million items of bitcoins were consistently distributed by 1% of the world’s 7.5 billion people, it would be 0.28 bitcoins.

　　（全球第一大富豪：埃隆马斯克 Elon Musk）

Elon Musk.

　　持有比特币做全球1%的富人需要多少钱？

How much does it cost to have bitcoin as 1% of the world's rich?

　　0.28枚比特币的门槛实际并不低，尤其是最近比特币价格火箭速度之下，这个门槛还在不断提升。

The threshold of 0.28 bitcoins is actually not low, especially recently below the speed of the Bitcoin price rocket, and it continues to rise.

　　按现在比特币40000美元的价格来计算，0.28枚比特币，最低需要11200美元，合计人民币约在72000元。 主要原因还是从去年10月以来比特币价格的疯狂，2020年10月初比特币价格刚刚过10000美元，现在已经是10月价格的4倍之多，那个时候要达到这一标准只需要2800美元，大约18000元即可。

At the current price of $40,000 in Bitcoin, 0.28 bitcoins, with a minimum requirement of $11,200, would amount to about $72,000. The main reason is also the madness of bitcoin prices since last October, just over $10,000 at the beginning of October 2020, now four times as much as in October, when it would take $2,800, or about $18,000, to reach that standard.

　　现在，大多数人已经错过这一机会了。

Now, most people have missed this opportunity.

　　事实上，这种统计方式也不是太完美。现目前为止，比特币并没有达到2100万枚总量，另外也没有考虑到近数百万枚比特币可能已经进入了地址黑洞，无法找回，实际的流通会远远低于2100万枚，另外也不可能做到平均分配，所以你想要做全球1%的富人成本很可能更低。

In fact, the statistics are not perfect either. So far, Bitcoin has not reached a total of 21 million, nor has it taken into account that nearly millions of bitcoins may have entered a black address hole that could not be recovered, that the actual flow would be well below 21 million, and that it would not be possible to distribute them evenly, so it is likely that the cost of being 1 per cent of the world's rich would be even lower.

　　另一种计算方式认为，你需要15枚比特币才能进入“比特币1%俱乐部”。按现价计算，你需要60万美元的投入，折算成人民币387万元。

Another calculation is that you need 15 bitcoins to enter the "bitcoin1% club." At current prices, you need $600,000 to convert it into RMB 3.87 million.

　　对于这个标准，很多人可能都达不到。

Many may not meet this standard.

　　根据Blocklink发布的资料表明，15枚比特币是神奇的数字。

According to the information released by Blocklink, 15 bitcoins were magic figures.

　　Blocklink的统计是在理想状态下做出的，即忽略了钱包和地址数据，并假设在2100万比特币所有者不会丢失比特币，从而得出了这一结论。据报道，该研究还认为幂律适用于比特币财富的分配，这被视为等同于全球财富。

Blocklink’s statistics were made in an ideal state, neglecting wallets and address data, and assuming that the 21 million Bitcoins owners would not lose bitcoins, thus reaching this conclusion. The study reportedly also found that the law applied to the distribution of bitcoins’ wealth, which was considered equivalent to global wealth.

　　不同的研究有不同的假设条件，由于区块链技术的隐私性非常强，无法仅从地址来判断是谁拥有这些比特币，因而也很难得出持有多少比特币才能成为加密货币社区的精英，在1%上榜上有名。

Different studies have different assumptions. Because of the very privacy of block chain technology, it is not possible to determine who owns these bitcoins from an address alone, and it is difficult to determine how much bitcoins are held to become the elites of the crypto-currency community, standing on the 1 per cent list.

　　多个比特币地址可以是同一个人，很难统计一个人持有比特币数量。另一方面，加密公司、交易所、托管钱包等，这些地址可能有大量的比特币，但可能是代表交易者或是客户持有，并不是自己的比特币。

Multiple bitcoins can be the same person, and it is difficult to count the number of bitcoins a person holds. On the other hand, encryption companies, exchanges, custodian wallets, etc., may have large amounts of bitcoins, but they may be held on behalf of traders or customers, not their own bitcoins.

　　无论统计最终结果是否准确，以上的研究只能做为参考，如果要做全球1%的富人，先从0.28枚比特币的目标前进吧。如果觉得0.28枚比特币还是太贵，可以先从0.0001个开始，积少成多，小步向前，通过几年时间来完成这一计划。

Whether the final results of the statistics are accurate or not, the above studies can only be used as a reference, and if 1% of the world’s rich are to go ahead with the 0.28 bitcoin target. If you feel that 0.28 bitcoins are too expensive, you can start with 0.0001 and make a few small steps forward and complete the plan over a few years.

　　以太坊可能在十年内超过比特币的市值

The market value of Ethio may exceed Bitcoin in 10 years

　　2020年整个加密市场在比特币的带领之下，已经进入了全面的牛市，现在没在比特币的车的投资者目光，已经从比特币转移到主流币。在众多的主流币中，以太坊仍是大家最关注的币种。

The entire encryption market, led by Bitcoin in 2020, has entered the full-scale cattle market, and investors who are not in bitcoin are now looking at it, moving from bitcoin to mainstream currency. Among the many mainstream currencies, Ether is still the currency of greatest interest.

　　在大家的印象当中，比特币应该是涨的最快的。但事实并不如此，只不过比特币单价较高，上涨幅度都在成百上千美元，给人造成了一定的错觉。

In your impression, bitcoin should be the fastest up. But that's not the case, except for the fact that bitcoin has a higher unit price and increases by hundreds of thousands of dollars, creating a certain illusion.

　　根据CoinDesk的资料显示，2020年涨幅最好的仍是主流币，比特币的涨幅排在第6位。

According to CoinDesk, the best increase in 2020 was still in mainstream currency, with Bitcoin in sixth place.

　　2020年涨的最快的是预言机 LINK，全年增长538.15%。第二名为 ETH 回报率为475.07%，另外，ADA，KNC、OMG分别为455.96%、331.88%和310.52%占据了前5名。

The fastest increase in 2020 was in the forecast machine LINK, which grew by 538.15 per cent throughout the year. The second-named ETH returned 475.07 per cent, while ADA, KNC, OMG accounted for 455.96 per cent, 331.8 per cent and 310.52 per cent, respectively, of the top five.

　　还是提一下EOS，全年上涨0.88%。对于这个结果，做为一个柚子粉来说，还是给个中评吧！

Let's talk about EOS, which is an increase of 0.88 per cent a year. For this result, let's make it a grapefruit.

　　2020年EOS至少证明了自己是所有主流币中最稳定的。

EOS 2020 proved at least that it was the most stable of all mainstream currencies.

　　Etherscan：2020年是以太坊表现最辉煌的一年

Etherscan: 2020 was the most glorious year in the courthouse

　　Etherscan发布了以太坊2020年数据汇总报告，全面总结2020年以太坊，展望2021。根据其数据显示，2020年是以太坊全面上升的一年，取得了不错的成绩。

According to Etherscan, the year 2020 is a year of full growth, and good results have been achieved.

　　1）最让人欣喜的就是价格的上涨：以太坊的价格在2020年上涨约4.8倍

1) The most exciting is the price rise: in 2020, the price of the Taikus rose about 4.8 times.

　　2）链上数据活跌：链上转账增加58%，新地址增加56%，智能合约数量增加55%

2) Data falling alive on the chain: 58 per cent increase in chain transfers, 56 per cent increase in new addresses and 55 per cent increase in smart contracts

　　3）DeFi 全面爆发：DeFi TVL增加从6亿美金增长24倍达到150亿美金，排名前100位的DeFi代币的市值从16亿美元增长11倍达到198亿美元

3) DeFi full-blown: DeFi TVL grew 24 times from $600 million to $15 billion, and the market value of the top 100 DeFi tokens increased 11 times from $1.6 billion to $19.8 billion

　　4）以太坊2.0进级开始：验证器达到67,000个，是最初目标的最小验证器数量(16,284)的4倍

4) Started with Tai Fan 2.0 Progress: The number of authenticators reached 67,000, which is four times the minimum number of the original target (16,284)

　　5）链上BTC持续增加：以太坊上的BTC在6个月的时间从5000个增长27倍，达到140,000个

5) The BTC on the chain continues to grow: the BTC on the Etheria grew 27 times from 5,000 to 140,000 in six months

　　以太坊在2020年取得了重大成就，尤其是在DeFi应用、以太坊2.0、链上数据等方面。2021年以太坊的价格又突破了1000美元，并站上了1288的高位，实现了开门红。正是以太坊的应用不断扩大，技术也在更新，2021年以太坊仍将持续发展。

In 2020, Ether was able to achieve significant results, particularly in the application of DeFi, Ether 2.0, and data on the chain. In 2021, it reached another $1,000 at a price and reached a peak of 1288. It was Ether's application that was expanding and technology was being updated, and Ether will continue to develop in 2021.

　　前高盛高管：ETH的市值10年内可能超过BTC

Former Goldman Sachs: The market value of ETH may exceed BTC in 10 years

　　从2009年以来，比特币一直占据着加密市场的主导地位，占比维持在70%左右。现在，这种情况在未来几年可能会改变。

Since 2009, Bitcoin has dominated the encryption market, with a ratio of around 70%. Now, this situation is likely to change in the coming years.

　　前高盛欧洲对冲基金销售业务负责人，现任Real Vision首席执行官Raoul Pal称：ETH的市值可能在10年内超过BTC。他认为BTC是理想的抵押品，但抵押品只是基础层，基础价值之上的信用和价值交换市场更大。

Raoul Pal, former head of European hedge fund sales in Goldman Sachs and current CEO of Real Vision, says that the market value of ETH may exceed BTC in 10 years. He believes that BTC is the ideal collateral, but the collateral is only the base layer, with a larger market for credit and value swaps above the base value.

　　以太坊的一些拥护者认为，加密货币最终将超越BTC的市值。想法是因为BTC具有作为财富存储和交换媒介的单一用例，所以随着时间的流逝，以太坊的多面性应为它提供更多的采用。

Some supporters of the Taikus believe that encryption money will ultimately exceed the market value of the BTC. The idea is that the BTC has a single example as a repository of wealth and a clearing house, so over time, it should be more adopted with its multi-faceted nature.

　　此外，他还表示目前的以太坊与2016年和2017年比特币的发展轨迹相似，在未来几个月内的增长速度可能更快。

In addition, he indicated that the current Ether House was similar to the development trajectory of the bitcoin in 2016 and 2017 and that growth could be faster in the coming months.

　　在未来的市场周期中，以太坊可能会获得2,000％的收益，这将使其价格达到20,000美元。以每枚币20,000美元的价格，假设BTC在此市场周期内仅增长300-400％，以太坊的市值可能会超过比特币。

In future market cycles, Ether is likely to earn 2,000% of the proceeds, which will bring the price to $20,000. At $20,000 per penny, assuming BTC increases by only 300-400% in the market cycle, the market value of Ether is likely to exceed Bitcoin.

　　另外有分析师评论说BTC和ETH可能在未来几年“竞争”达到一万亿美元的估值。他认为以太坊新兴的DeFi经济将为它带来与BTC相应的价值动力。

There are also analysts who have commented that BTC and ETH are likely to “competition” for $1 trillion in valuations over the next few years. He believes that the emerging DeFi economy in Taiku will give it value incentives commensurate with the BTC.

　　江卓尔重仓以太坊，预测价格上升到2万美元

Gang Djoll re-portraits, with forecasted prices rising to $20,000

　　矿业大V江卓尔在公开访谈中也分享了自己对于以太坊的看法。现在，他已经重仓ETH，占比40%，其它，BTC占15%，BCH30%，创新币种15%。

In a public interview, the mining industry, Grand V Gang Djoll, also shared his views on Ether. He has now repositioned ETH, which accounts for 40%, and BTC, which accounts for 15%, BCH 30%, and Innovative Currency 15%.

　　江卓尔主认为，以太坊不仅实现了货币自由，它还实现了另外一个更加重要东西，可以称为合同自由，货币+合同会创造出更大的价值。所以我看好以太坊，在牛市顶峰可能会涨到2万美元以上，最后它肯定会超过比特币高值。另外，他也担忧，312式大暴跌或再现币圈，提醒大家要做好准备。

According to Lord Jiangchallor, not only did it achieve monetary freedom, but it also achieved another, more important thing, that it could be called freedom of contract, and that currency-plus contracts would create greater value. So I think that it could rise to more than $20,000 at the peak of the cattle market, and it would eventually exceed the value of Bitcoin.

　　江卓尔的这一观点与当前市场上许多大佬的看法不谋而合，以太坊的未来仍是值得期待。但要实现以太坊市值超越比特币，需要长期的积累和不断创新发展。

Jiangchallor’s view coincides with that of many of the big players in the current market, and the future of Ethio is still to be expected. But if Ethio’s market value is to go beyond Bitcoin, it will require long-term accumulation and continuous innovation.

　　对于以太坊的持币人来说，未来一枚2万美元的以太坊，你会不会等它10年？

Will you wait ten years for an Ether's next 20,000-dollar Ether?