截至当前，以太坊的交易价格稳定在 3200 美元。近期，ETH 在 3000 美元心理价位上下反复波动，同时其持仓量显著下降，显示出市场情绪疲软，短期内可能预示着下跌趋势。
As of now, the trade price of Taiyo has stabilized at $3,200. In the recent past, ETH has fluctuated over $3000 in psychological terms, while its holdings have declined significantly, indicating a weak market mood, which may portend a downward trend in the short term.
1. 自 4 月 13 日以来，ETH 几度失守 3000 美元关键位置，反映市场信心减退。
2. 链上数据揭示了多头势力的削弱，过去几周价格轨迹进一步暗示潜在的下行风险。
3. 然而，若能在较高时间框架内坚守住 3000 美元，多头仍有反攻的可能性。AMBCrypto 正在通过研究链上指标来判断未来走势方向。
Since April 13, ETH has lost key positions of $3000 several times, reflecting a decline in market confidence.
2. The data on the chain reveal a weakening of multiple forces, and the price trajectory of the past few weeks has further implied potential downside risks.
3. However, there is still a risk of a counter-attack if the $3000 can be held in a relatively high time frame. AMBCrypto is trying to determine future directions by looking at indicators on the chain.
1. 在今年 2 月中旬的前一轮牛市中，ETH 由 1900 美元的历史高点回调至 1400 美元，并经历了V型反转，期间期货市场的过热情况屡次显现。
2. 过于急切的多头借助杠杆做多寻求快速盈利，但在一定程度上，由于现货需求不足以及期货市场的过度看涨情绪，市场被迫重置。
3. 如今，4 月份 OI 下降至 71.7 亿美元，类似的情况可能再次发生，但由于比特币近期面临的抛售压力，V 型反转是否重现仍不明朗。
During the first round of this year, in mid-February, ETH reverted from a historic high of $1,900 to $1,400, and experienced a V-type reversal, during which the overheating of the futures market became apparent.
2. Overstretched multiple efforts to leverage more rapid profits have been made, but to some extent markets have been forced to reset due to insufficient demand for current goods and excessive interest in futures markets.
3.
1. 二月至三月中旬，以太坊的社会情绪普遍乐观，然而伴随价格回调，市场情绪转为消极。
2. 高昂的网络交易费用问题或也是前期网络情绪高涨的原因之一。
3. 最近三个月，以太坊网络增长指标增速放缓，表明需求增长动力不足，这种现象通常发生在上涨趋势之后而非之前。
4. 自 3 月 27 日以来，90 天平均币龄逐步升高，意味着全网范围内的 ETH 正在积累；同时，近一个月来 30 天 MVRV 比率维持负值，说明多数持币者处于浮亏状态。
5. 这样的市场背景虽提供了买入良机，但前景仍充满变数。对于波段交易者和长期投资者而言，只有当 ETH 成功站稳 3300 美元阻力位上方，他们才会对后续持续上涨更具信心。
During the last three months, the growth rate of the growth indicators of the Taiwan network has slowed, indicating that demand is not growing enough, usually after the upward trend.
4. Since March 27, the 90-day average currency age has gradually risen, meaning that the network-wide ETH is accumulating; and, at the same time, the 30-day MVRV ratio has remained negative for nearly a month, indicating that most currency holders are in a state of loss.
5. The market background provides a good opportunity to buy, but the outlook is still very variable.
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