据比特币行情数据显示,至截稿为止,比特币现报9528.9美元,24小时涨幅为0.4%,今年涨幅31.13%,也正是因为这样的数据,比特币稳稳的成为了币圈投资项目第一的存在,甚至说比特币是币圈的必经之路,即便如此,币圈新手还是要比特币行情有所掌握,那么,比特币走势图怎么看?比特币走势图如何分析?针对这两个问题,本站小编就跟大家好好普及一番。
According to Bitcoin accounts, by the time of writing, Bitcoins now reported $9528.9, a 24-hour increase of 0.4 per cent, and 31.13 per cent this year, and that is precisely because of the data that Bitcoins have stabilized as the number one investment project in the currency ring, and even to say that bitcoins are the necessary route to the currency circle. Even so, the newcomers in the currency ring are more mastered than the specials. So, what about the bitcoins?
比特币实时行情在很多比特币交易平台都提供实时查看功能,用户搜索一个就可以查看实时行情,现在很多平台还列出了比特币已经被开采了多少,还有多少没有被开采的,这些信息都是可以查看到的。其实比特币的行情和股票的走势都差不多,用户可以按分时,日K,周线,月线和年线来看,通过这些图形可以知道它最近的走势怎么样,不过从走势图上是很难预测它未来的走势,并比特币和股票还有本质的区别。
Bitcoin real-time transactions provide real-time viewing functions at many bitcoin trading platforms, where users search one to see real-time transactions, and now many have listed how much bitcoins have been mined and how much of them have not been mined, as can be seen. In fact, bitcoins are moving in the same way as stocks, and users can see their recent trends by time, by day, by day, by week, by month, by month, by year.
(图片来源网络,侵删)比特币行情分析通过几个方面来进行,分别是:市场方面、数据的使用方法。
The Bitcoin situation analysis is carried out in several ways: market aspects, data use methods.
一、市场方面
I. MARKET ASPECTS
(图片来源网络,侵删)在今年,我们会发现整个市场的表现与过往几年都不太一样,以2017年的牛市为例,从当时整个市场的表现来看,我们会发现,不管是领头的比特币,还是以太坊、莱特币、BCH等主流币,以及其他的山寨币,整个数字货币市场表现是所有的数字货币都在上涨,等到了今年的牛市,除了平台币以外,其他不管是主流币还是山寨币,都没有跑过比特币。
This year, we will find that the entire market is not the same as it was in previous years, for example, the cattle market of 2017, and from the performance of the market as a whole, we will find that whether the leading bitcoin, or the mainstream currency, such as Taiwan, Leiteco, BCH, or other bounties, the entire digital money market is showing that all the digital currencies are rising, and that this year's bull market, with the exception of the pebbles, has never run a bitcoin.
这是因为,2017年之前的上涨逻辑,本质上是由散户推动的。从2011年到2017年,比特币的体量其实是非常小的,可能对于有钱大户来说,一点钱进来,比特币的市值就能翻好几倍,这也造成了早期数字货币暴涨暴跌的特性。
This is because the upswing logic of 2017 is essentially driven by scattered households. From 2011 to 2017, Bitcoins were actually very small, and it may be that for large, wealthy households, the market value of Bitcoins can be multiplied several times, which also creates the characteristics of early digital money booming and falling.
直到2017年年底到2018年年初这个阶段,外界入场的散户数量达到了一个巅峰,新进来的散户一看,“比特币价格太高了,主流币和山寨币的价格低,那我投这些比特币之外的币吧”,所以,就造成了万币暴涨的现象,也造就了很多的暴富神话。
Until the end of 2017 and the beginning of 2018, when the number of expats reached a peak, the newly arrived swarms looked at “the price of bitcoin is too high, the price of mainstream and bountiful coins is too low, so I would like to put on these coins other than” and, as a result, caused the surge in the currency and created many myths of wealth.
二、数据的使用方法
II. METHODOLOGY OF USE OF DATA
1.多空持仓人数比
1. Ratio of multi-empty warehouses
所谓多空持仓人数比,实际上反应的是,市场上大部分散户的情绪,因为市场上多方和空方的总仓位价值是相等的。总仓位价值相等的情况下,人均持单价值不同,说明某一方人数更多,那一方人均持仓价值就越低,那一方散户人数更多,所以当多空持仓人数比大于0.表示散户是看多情绪比较重,当多空持仓人数比小于0.表示散户是看空情绪比较重。
Compared to the number of so-called multi-empty warehouses, in fact, it reflects the mood of most of the scattered households in the market, because the total value of the empty and multiple positions in the market is equal. When the value of the total warehouse is equal, there is a difference in the single value per capita, indicating a greater number of persons on one side, the lower the value per capita on one side, and the larger the number of scattered households on the other side, so when the number of excess-empty warehouses is heavier than the number of split households on the other side, and when there is less than the number of empty warehouses on the other side, it is heavier than the number of split households on the other side.
用法:
Usage:
(1)多空持仓人数比与行情呈负相关性,当行情下跌,多空持仓人数比仍然增长,或者当行情增长,多空持仓人数比仍然减少时,行情大概率还会延续之前走势。
(1) There is a negative correlation between the number of silos and the number of silos when the movement falls, the number of silos increases, or when the number of silos increases and the number of silos decreases, the presumably continues the previous trend.
(2)当多空持仓人数较高或较低时,大概率行情会出现插针现象。
(2) When there is a higher or lower number of empty warehouses, a punctuation is likely to occur.
(3)当行情在高位,多空持仓人数比明显增长时,行情大概率会发生反转,但行情在高位,多空持仓人数比是适中(接近1:1的比例)情况时,则大概率会延续上涨行情。
(3) When the situation is high and there is a marked increase in the number of empty warehouses, there is a reversal in the probability, but when the situation is high and the number of empty warehouses is moderate (approx. 1:1) it is likely that the increase will continue.
2.合约持仓总量
2. Total contract holdings
合约持仓总量,因为这个数据只有和其他数据一起看时,才能看出信息,所以就把这个数据与交易量归到一起去分析。其中所谓的合约持仓总量,指的是对应币种交割合约和永续合约所有的多方与空方的持仓量总和。
The total amount of the contract is held, because this data is only available when read together with other data, so that this data is analysed together with the volume of the transaction. The sum of the so-called contract holdings refers to the sum of the multiple and empty holdings of the respective currency of the contract and the permanent contract.
因为市场中,多空总仓位价值是一样的,有多少张空单卖出就有多少张多单买入,所以,合约持仓总量的变化也代表多方或者空方的总持仓量的变化。而交易量就是指该币种合约在某段时间内的交易总量。该数据的统计包括了所有的交割合约和永续合约。
Because in the market, the value of empty totals is the same, and as many empty bills are sold, so the change in the total stock of contracts also represents a change in the total stock of multiple or empty parties. And the volume of transactions refers to the total amount of transactions of the currency contracts over a certain period of time.
用法:
Usage:
(1)当行情处于低位,总持仓量不断增加,而交易量整体较小,且没有放大的话,之后的行情大概率会上涨。
(1) When the business situation is low, the overall holdings are increasing and the overall volume of transactions is small and not magnified, then the propensity is likely to rise.
(2)当行情处于高位,总持仓量屡创新高,交易量放大行情却处于横盘或者阴跌的状态,之后的行情大概率会大幅下跌。
(2) When the situation is high, when there is always a high level of innovation in the holdings, and when the volume of transactions is in a state of magnification or depression, then the likelihood is that the rate of movement will fall significantly.
(3)当交易量上涨,而同一时间持仓量下降,说明有大量单子被平仓或者爆仓。
(3) When the volume of transactions increases and the holdings decline at the same time, this indicates that a large number of the lists have been levelled or blown up.
3.精英多空平均持仓比例
3. Average stocking ratio of elites
精英多空平均持仓比例,这个数据表示的是交易所中,持仓经验排名前数百名的交易员,所动用的保证金账号中资金的平均实时状况。所以,通过这个数据,我们就可以直观地感受到头部用户们的仓位变化。
The elite has an average warehouse ratio, and this data represents the average real-time status of the funds in the deposit account used by the top hundreds of traders in the exchange with warehouse experience. So, with this data, we can visualize the changes in the position of head users.
用法:
Usage:
当行情已经下跌一段时间后开始横盘时,如果多头的持仓比例一直在升高(30%以上),并维持高位,且数据没有明显有下降的情况出现,则之后的行情大概率会延续之前的走势,直到数据从高位下降到一个适中水平为止。反之亦然。
If, after a period of decline, the multi-head holding ratio has been rising (more than 30 per cent) and remains high, and there has been no apparent decline in the data, then the likelihood of subsequent movements will continue until the data drops from a high to a moderate level. The reverse is also true.
4.其他类型数据
4. Other types of data
最后简单的说一下交易所给出的其他类型数据,基差、主动买入卖出情况、以及精英多空趋向指标。这三个数据并没有太大的指导性意义,都属于滞后性指标。
Finally, to put it simply, the other types of data given by the exchange, the base, the buy-in sales, and the elitist multi-temporal trend indicators. These three data are not very instructive, and they are lagging indicators.
其中基差,就是指合约价格和现货指数价格的差值。具有滞后性,会随着行情发生变化后,随之产生变化,可以反映市场的总体情绪,当基差为很大的正数时,说明投资者普遍看涨。如果基差为负且数值很大时,就说明投资者普遍看跌。
The base difference is the difference between the contract price and the spot index price. It is delayed and changes as events change, reflecting the general sentiment of the market and, when the base difference is a large positive number, indicating that investors are generally looking up. If the base difference is negative and significant, it means that investors are generally looking down.
而主动买入卖出的数据,主动买入,是指主动性买盘(吃单买入)的成交量,也就是资金流入量,主动卖出,是指主动性卖盘(吃单卖出)的成交量,也就是资金流出量。这个指标也是反映总体的市场情绪,没有办法通过其中的变化,得到更加细节性的信息。
The active purchase of the sold data, on the one hand, refers to the transaction of the active purchase plate, i.e. the inflow of funds, and the voluntary sale, refers to the transaction of the active sale plate, i.e. the outflow of funds. This indicator is also a reflection of the overall market mood, and there is no way to obtain more detailed information through the changes in it.
最后精英多空趋向的指标,是指精英持仓账户数量的多空比例。这个数据,也是在一定程度上反应市场大部分人是看多还是看空,甚至还会有些偏差,因为一些大户和机构会进行套期保值的工具,利用合约对冲降低现货风险。
The final indicator of the elite’s multi-empty tendency is the multi-empty ratio of the elite’s holdings of warehouse accounts. This figure also reflects, to some extent, whether most of the market is full of views or not, or even deviations, as some large households and institutions use hedging tools to reduce spot risk by using contract hedges.
比特币行情怎么看?通过以上介绍,相信大家对于比特币行情有所了解,对于投资比特币的币友来说,学会如何看比特币行情是非常重要的,只有看懂比特币行情,才能给接下来的比特币投资带来一定的预测,同时投资者才能通过比特币行情对自己账户进行有条不絮的操作,才不至于成为一个等待被割的韭菜。
What do you think of Bitcoin? Through this introduction, it is believed that there is some understanding of bitcoin, that learning how to look at bitcoin is very important for the money friends who invest bitcoin, that only understanding bitcoin will bring some predictability to the next bitcoin investment, and that investors will be able to operate their accounts in a smooth way through bitcoin, so that they will not become a cucumber waiting to be cut.
通过以上介绍,相信大家对比特币走势图有所了解。在数字货币市场,技术分析是预测短期行情走势的一个指标,这里说的技术分析就是比特币走势图分析,本站小编提醒投资者,不论是否相信技术分析,看懂走势图都是很有必要的,排除技术图形、指标、多空博弈这方面的技术问题不谈,币种的价格走势、成交量、最低点、最高点这些基础层面的信息,完全能够在走势图中体现出来。
In the digital currency market, where technical analysis is an indicator of short-term trends, the technical analysis referred to here is a bitcoin trend analysis. The site's small editor reminds investors that it is necessary to understand the trends, whether or not they believe in them, and that it is necessary to exclude technical issues such as technical graphics, indicators, multispace games, and information on the fundamentals of currency price movements, turnover, minimum points, and peaks, which can be fully reflected in the trend map.
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