今日,比特幣大跌14.5%,至2526.4美元,創下2015年1月以來最大跌幅。
Today, Bitcoins fell by 14.5 per cent to $2526.4, the largest drop since January 2015.
6月12日,國內三大比特幣交易平台價格均超過了3000美元,再次創出歷史新高,近半個月以來,比特幣價格暴漲56%。而今年以來漲幅甚至超過了300%。在這瘋狂行情下,分析人士提醒投資者警惕風險,未來恐出現大跌行情。
On June 12, all three of the country’s Bitcoin trading platforms exceeded the price of $3,000, creating another record high, with the price of Bitcoins rising by 56% in almost half a month. And this year, it has even risen by 300%.
華爾街見聞此前提到,在5月比特幣大漲中,渡邊夫人(泛指日本家庭主婦投資群體)和韓國退休老人成為一股強勁的力量。
Wall Street mentioned earlier that in May, when the Bitcoins surged, Mrs. Watanabe (generally the Japanese housewife investment group) and retired Koreans became a powerful force.
受低利率政策影響,日韓散戶投資者傾向於關注其它投資資產,而近期比特幣令人眩暈的漲幅吸引了他們的注意。今年以來,亞洲股市上漲17%,而與此同時,比特幣的價格則飆漲了124%,僅5月單月,就上漲了60%。
As a result of low interest rate policies, Japanese and Korean investors tend to focus on other investments, and the recent dizzying increase in bitcoins has attracted attention. The Asian stock market has risen by 17% this year, while by the same time the price of bitcoins has risen by 124%, and by 60% in just one month in May.
自從日本4月開始將比特幣作為合法付款方式后,日本和韓國對比特幣的需求激增,這兩國的比特幣交易價格也較其它國家出現大幅溢價。上個月,在全球比特幣平均價格在2500美元左右時,韓國比特幣交易價格曾一度突破4000美元。
Japan and Korea have experienced a surge in demand for bitcoins since April, when Japan began to use them as a legal payment method, and the prices of bitcoins in these two countries have also experienced significant increases over other countries. Last month, the price of bitcoins in North Korea was once over $4,000 when the global average was about $2,500.
據路透報道,目前在日本和韓國已經滋生出比特幣相關產業,鼓動投資者投資比特幣。
According to the Reuters report, now in Japan and Korea, Bitcoins-related industries have been created to motivate investors to invest in bitcoins.
據貨幣電報評論,中國是世界上最大的比特幣交易市場,是全球比特幣交易市場穩定和標准化的催化劑,對比特幣價格上漲起到了決定性的作用。
According to the currency telegram, China is the world’s largest trading market for bitcoins, a catalyst for stabilizing and standardizing the global market for bitcoins, and has played a decisive role in raising the price of bitcoins.
隨著監管力度的放鬆,中國比特幣市場6月逐漸穩定,中國三大比特幣交易所(火幣網、OKCoin和BTCC)也開始全面走向復蘇。原本低於全球平均水平25%的中國比特幣價格,現已走在世界的前列,超過了全球平均價格。
With the easing of surveillance, China’s Bitcoin market stabilized in June, and China’s three main bitcoin exchanges (fire money networks, OKCoin, and BTCC) are starting to recover. China’s Bitcoin prices, which were already below the global average of 25%, are now in the forefront of the world, surpassing the global average.
針對目前國內對比特幣的監管政策,專家的意見並不統一。中國政法大學金融創新與互聯網金融法制研究中心副秘書長趙鷂在撰文中指出,倘若政府將比特幣納入金融監管,承認比特幣的金融屬性,比如“數字資產”或者“數字貨幣”,那麼這將強化公眾接受比特幣的信念,降低公眾接受比特幣的門檻,結果就會削弱公眾對於法定貨幣及其金融體系的信心,反而抬升了比特幣的價值,成為炒作比特幣價格的推手。
The Deputy Secretary-General of the Financial Innovation and Internet Legal Research Centre of the University of China stated in his paper that if the government included bitcoins in financial supervision and recognized their financial attributes, such as “digital assets” or “digital currencies”, it would strengthen the public’s acceptance of bitcoins and reduce the public’s acceptance of bitcoins, thereby weakening the public’s confidence in the statutory currency and its financial system. Instead, it would raise the value of bitcoins and become a bid for bitcoins.
OKcoin幣行數據顯示,2016年12月31日,比特幣收盤價為6791.82元人民幣,截止2017年6月11日,比特幣收盤價為20600元,漲幅高達203.31%,簡直秒殺其他一切可投資資產。隨著比特幣啟動隔離驗証和區塊容量擴容的消息帶來的新一波暴漲行情,再加上席卷全球的勒索病毒點名隻接受比特幣“贖金”,比特幣又一次進入大眾視野。我們再次見証比特幣的巨大波動。
According to the OKcoin line of data, on December 31, 2016, Bitcoin collected $679.82, and on June 11, 2017, Bitcoin collected $20,600, up 20.331%, killing every other investmentable asset in a second. A new wave of surges brought about by the news that Bitcoin triggered the isolation test and the expansion of block capacity, together with the global blackmail virus’s claim to accept Bitcoin, has once again entered the public eye. We have seen once again the huge wave of Bitcoin.
很多人把比特幣投資與股票投資相類比,但與股票相比,比特幣的波動性顯然要大得多,一個主要的原因是比特幣沒有價格錨。
A lot of people compare Bitcoin investments to equity investments, but the Bitcoins are clearly much more volatile than equities, one of the main reasons being that bitcoins do not have price anchors.
股票價格雖然波動很大,但根本上受制於背后上市公司業績,比特幣卻沒有這樣的錨定,其價值根本上取決於投資人的共識,極易受到情緒、政策等因素影響,暴漲暴跌。
Stock prices, though highly volatile, are fundamentally influenced by the performance of companies that are listed behind them, and by the fact that the Bitcoin does not have such an anchor, its value is fundamentally determined by the common sense of the investors, and it is highly vulnerable to emotional, policy and other factors.
有專家提醒,對於社會上層出不窮的各種山寨幣,希望大家都敬而遠之,要抵擋住“現在入場是處於某某幣項目的初期,是機會最好的時期,相當於買原始股,你說賺不賺錢”的誘惑。作為虛擬的數字資產,若沒有得到政府直接或間接的認可,是沒有投資價值的。
One expert cautioned that, with respect to the rich and poor mountain coins at the top of society, it is to be hoped that everyone will stay away from “the beginning of a given dollar, the best chance, the temptation to buy the original shares, you say to make no money.” As a virtual digital asset, there is no investment value if it is not recognized directly or indirectly by the government.
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