1700美元的墙难以打破——在Silvergate崩溃四天后，以太坊(ETH)的价格仍然低于1700美元。在周末划船时，由于我们期待整个3月的重要宏观头条新闻，因此可能会出现下行喘息的机会。在连续两个月上涨之后，为了潜在地建立有利于中和当前熊市的价格结构将是合理的。
The $1,700 wall is difficult to break – four days after Silvergate’s collapse, the price of ETH is still below $1,700. During the weekends, as we look forward to important macro headlines for the whole of March, there may be opportunities for breathing. After two months in a row, it would be reasonable to create a price structure that is conducive to medium and current bear markets.
尽管如此，美元和债券收益率反弹等不利因素正在引发人们对加密货币王子反弹力度的担忧。在不久的将来，随着主要截止日期的临近，某种谨慎可能会盛行。
Nevertheless, adverse factors, such as a rebound in the dollar and bond yields, are raising concerns about the extent to which the Prince of Encrypted Currency has rebounded. In the near future, some caution may prevail as the main cut-off date approaches.
在充满希望和恐惧的市场背景下，让我们在下一次美联储会议前两周回顾一下加密王子的最新技术分析和可能的情景。
In the context of a market full of hope and fear, let us review the latest technical analysis and possible scenarios of the encrypted prince two weeks before the next Fed meeting.
以月为单位的以太坊——走向红色火星？
The Etheria in the moon - to the Red Mars?
以太坊开盘跌破1700美元和下行线，以错误的方式开始三月。尽管目前跌幅很小，但多头显然遇到了双重障碍。如此之多，以至于自2021年11月上一次ATH以来，ETH的熊市中和的前景正在消退。
It is clear that many of them are facing a double barrier, although the current decline is small. So much so that since the last ATH, in November 2021, the prospects for ETH’s mid- and suburb of the bear market are fading.
然而，价格和ChikouSpan在月度Kumo之外仍有可观的安全边际。另一方面，要记住的另一个有利信号来自Tenkan和Kijun之间的巨大看跌缺口。提醒一下，与第一个相比，第二个往往对价格动态反应缓慢。Ichimoku两条曲线的和解将有助于消除自2022年6月以来以太坊价格的低迷局面。
Prices and ChikouSpan, however, still have a significant security margin outside Kumo monthly. On the other hand, another positive signal to remember is the huge gap between Tenkan and Kijun.
但另一方面，加密王子不应该在1700美元以下徘徊太久。因为否则，我们将冒险测试下一个支撑。明确而准确地拒绝低于该阻力位将推动空头将以太坊价格推低至1400美元。这种支持可能是一种或另一种方式的引爆点，担心会出现红色火星。这就是我们将在周线图上看到的。
On the other hand, the encrypt prince should not wander for too long below $1,700. Otherwise, we would risk testing the next support. A clear and accurate rejection of the lower resistance would push the empty to lower the price to $1,400. That support could be one way or another, fearing a red Mars. That's what we'll see on the map.
以每周为单位的以太坊——连续第三周下跌？
The weekly Etheria — the third consecutive drop?
事情以每周为单位变得更加清晰。事实上，以太坊价格连续第二周跌破1700美元。他现在威胁Tenkan对公牛的三传球。杰罗姆·鲍威尔(JeromePowell)在国会和众议院的听证会，以及周末的美国就业数据，可能会提供一点火花，以突显一个明显的趋势。
In fact, for the second week in a row, it fell by $1,700. He now threatens Tenkan’s triple pass on bulls. Jerome Powell’s hearings in Congress and the House of Representatives, as well as weekend-end US employment data, may provide a spark to highlight a clear trend.
目前，ETH价格和Kumo下的ChikouSpan的现状还没有准备好被多头挫败。后者再次错失了永久统治空头的机会。特别是因为跌破1700美元也将与一条下行线重合，该下行线将被证明难以跨越。连续第三周盘整将看到Tenkan突破Kijun和1400美元。
At present, ETH prices and ChikouSpan’s status under Kumo are not yet ready to be foiled. Once again, the latter missed the opportunity to rule permanently.
如果跌破1400美元，多头应该抓住这个机会，它本身可能是最后一个突破1700美元的机会。这些课程有可能在Kumo内大举回归并反弹2300美元。与此同时，ChikouSpan将尝试回到接近熊市下降线的位置。
If we fall by $1,400, many heads should seize this opportunity, which in itself could be the last chance to break by $1,700. These courses are likely to bounce back and bounce back $2,300 in Kumo.
否则，如果空头成功突破1400美元，年初的大部分反弹将被部分抹去。因此，我们将不幸回到1200美元的支撑位。
Otherwise, if the blanks succeed in breaking $1,400, most of the rebounds at the beginning of the year will be partially wiped out. So, unfortunately, we will return to the $1,200 support position.
以日为单位的以太坊——现在在KUMO中的课程
Etheria in Japan - a course now in KUMO
以日为单位，以太坊的价格早已推迟了几个交易日的截止日期。令多头懊恼的是，该发生的事情发生了。因为现在，它已经通过接连击碎了天干和鬼军而略微下降到了一目云的内部。幸运的是，就目前而言，价格与1400美元支撑位之间的差距仍然很大。
In the case of Japan, the cut-off date for several trading days has already been postponed at Taiwan’s price. What's troubling is that this should happen. Because now it has fallen slightly to the inside of a cloud by breaking the sky dry and the ghost army in succession. Fortunately, the gap between the price and the $1,400 support position is still large.
然而，多头最好不要冒着看到加密货币王子加强其向Kumo下限SenkouSpanB(SSB)盘整的风险徘徊。这将机械地发送ChikouSpan接触1400美元。此外，我们将彻底结束ETH的价格现状和每日单位高于Kumo的ChikouSpan。从这个意义上说，我们将支持同时拒绝跌破1700美元和下降线。
However, it is best not to run the risk of seeing the Prince of Encrypted Currency strengthen his scavengering to the SenkouSpanB (SSB) below the Kumo floor. This will mechanically send ChikouSpan into contact with $1,400. Moreover, we will put an end to the price status quo of the ETH and ChikouSpan, where the daily unit is higher than Kumo.
假设这种看跌情景真的成为现实，空头可能会重返业务，威胁1400美元。如果市场环境被不确定性所取代，以太坊将回到1200美元附近的支撑区域，这将再次削弱多头。
Assuming that this drop scenario is truly a reality, the empty head could return to business, threatening $1,400. If the market environment is replaced by uncertainty, the talisman will return to support areas close to $1,200, which will weaken many more.
更糟糕的是，我们不会注意到任何关于价格动态和Tenkan与Kijun之间差距的真正超卖信号，以实现这一目标。考虑到未来几天Kumo的厚度，即使回到1400美元也不能保证多头期待已久的跳跃。
Worse still, we will not notice any real oversale signals about price dynamics and the gap between Tenkan and Kijun to achieve this goal. Given the thickness of Kumo in the next few days, even a return to $1,400 would not guarantee a long-awaited leap.
尽管自2021年11月的最后一次ATH以来，还没有关于恢复或中和熊市的决定，但要注意年初的有利势头不会失去势头。多头显然将在1700美元的接触点上进行另一次测试。而如果突破1400美元，空头将开始重新点燃他们的火焰。
Although there has been no decision since the last ATH in November 2021 to restore or centralize the Bear City, it is important to note that the positive momentum at the beginning of the year will not lose momentum. It is clear that more will be tested at the $1,700 point of contact.
但如果最近美元和债券利率的上涨继续下去，情况可能会发生根本性的变化。对于抗击顽固通胀的可信度问题，美联储可能会将关键利率上调至超出其最初预期的水平。
But if the recent rise in interest rates on the dollar and bonds continues, the situation may change fundamentally. For the credibility of the fight against obstinate inflation, the Fed may raise key interest rates above its original expectations.
因此，许多已将美国央行货币政策在不久的将来转向或改变定价的投资者可能会措手不及。随着雪崩席卷所有最容易受到流动性影响的资产类别，尤其是加密货币。因此，最近以太坊价格跌破对数尺度的熊市下降线并不是微不足道的。
As the avalanche engulfs all the asset classes that are most vulnerable to liquidity, especially encrypted currencies. Thus, the recent decline in bears, which has broken the logarithm scale at Taiwan prices, is not insignificant.
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