注意了!比特币今天到顶?

资讯 2024-07-02 阅读:30 评论:0
【交易宗旨:与人性为敌】每日分享比特币多空踏浪策略。"The purpose of the deal: to be enemies of humanity" is a daily sharing o...
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【交易宗旨:与人性为敌】每日分享比特币多空踏浪策略。

"The purpose of the deal: to be enemies of humanity" is a daily sharing of Bitcoin's many-empty stomping tactics.

毫无疑问,老大哥比特币(Bitcoin)带动币圈运行了5天的上涨行情,价格进入到上一个阶段高位(11149至12448区间),从历史上不难发现,连续收涨5天以上的情况并不多见,而今天,结合我们“踏浪策略”的看跌位11351.01美金,日线收盘价极有可能下破看跌位,按策略规则,即刻平多开空,结束本次踏浪之旅,开启新的一段空头对赌之战。

There is no doubt that Big Brother Bitcoin, who led the currency circle to five days of upturn, has reached the last stage of price height (between 1114 and 12448), and it has not been difficult to find in history that more than five days of successive increases are not uncommon, and that today, in conjunction with our “roll-on strategy” of $11,351.01, it is highly likely that the solar line will fall

(策略详见文末表格)

(Details of the strategy are given at the end of the paper table)

现在来看下比特币正在发生什么,我们来观摩下2小时K线趋势图:

Now let's look at what's happening in bitcoin, and let's look at the two-hour K-line trend map:


图中两条绿色趋势线画出了比特币2小时的趋势通道,到今天收盘(火币网)大概还有6小时47分钟,2小时线将运行共计4根(包含图中的最后一根K线),如果趋势不破,那么第4根K线的收盘价必须站上11364.24美金,如果没有站上,上图中的趋势通道就被打破,今天收跌,同时明天也收跌的可能性大幅度增加。

The two green trend lines in the figure paint a two-hour trend path for bitcoin, which will be closed today for approximately 6 hours and 47 minutes, and will run a total of 4 lines (including the last Kline in the chart). If the trend does not break, the fourth K line will have to be closed at $113.6424. If not, the trend path in the above chart will be broken, it will drop today, and the possibility of falling tomorrow will increase significantly.

再看日线级别的趋势,突发的陡峭走势显然是要进行有效回踩,继而再震荡攀升的:

In view of the trend at the level of the solar line, it is clear that the sudden steep movement is an effective step back, followed by a tremors:


图中可见,大跌后的反弹高点11180有效突破,按历史规律,行情大概率盘整(筹码重洗)后向上攀升,不过,图中的紫色趋势线给了我们一个强烈的提醒,尤其是做短线投资,今天盘中时间成交量放大,如果晚间多头没能强烈抬升价位(站上日线趋势之上),那么这条趋势线将无效,失去支撑。

As can be seen from the graph, the rebound after the fall of was an effective break at 11180, and as a matter of historical law, the pseudo-optimal (mixed) step up, but the purple trend line in the chart was a strong reminder, especially for short-line investment by , that the volume of time on the plate was amplified today, and that if more than one evening did not raise the price (on-the-street trend), the trend line would be ineffective and unsupported.

比特币价格也将回落,进入第一趋势通道顶部与趋势通道底部形成的通道里上跳下窜,直到价格突破第二趋势通道顶部,届时,也是比特币重回12000美金大关之时。

Bitcoin prices will also fall and jump into the passages formed at the top of the first trend channel and the bottom of the trend channel until prices break through the top of the second trend channel, which is also when Bitcoin returns to the $12,000 mark.

分析结束,来看今天的踏浪策略,分析仅供理论参考,策略才是我们每天应对行情的交易法门,如图:

At the end of the analysis, looks at today's stomp strategy, which is for theoretical reference only. The strategy is the trade law that we deal with every day. .


(10月12日比特币多空收盘价踏浪策略)


本次“踏浪策略”做多时间已经持续了接近8天,在整个踏浪策略开平仓的历史记录里也是罕见,这点也是踏浪策略应用于加密货币和A股不一样的地方,2015年起公开应用于上证指数,单边持有时间有时甚至长达几个月,但在加密货币世界,尚未出现过这种情况。

This “stomping strategy” has lasted for almost eight days, and is rare in the history of the entire staircase of the stomp strategy.

新来的朋友可以回顾9月份到昨天的每日文章,文里都有“踏浪策略”表格,每天收盘前提前分享“看跌位”或者“看涨位”,以未来的收盘价为基准来判定收盘时是否开仓平仓,同时有开平仓的方向,再用当天的收盘价作为开仓的记录价位,以此完成我们策略的多空踏浪之旅。

New friends can recall the daily articles from September to yesterday, which contain a “roll-on strategy” form, which shares “watch-down” or “watch-up” in advance of the closing day, using future cut-off rates as a benchmark for determining whether the closing should take place, and `/strong', which at the same time has a clear-cut direction and uses that day's cut-off price as a record price for opening the warehouse, thus completing the multi-empty march of our strategy.

今天看跌位报11351.01美金,当火币网日线收盘价小于等于看跌位,策略就会平仓出局(完成本次做多),反手开空,如若没有跌破看跌位,继续做多持仓。

Today we see $11,351.01, and when the price is less than the price of a fall on the gunnet, the strategy will be to level out (to do more) and open the door, if we do not fall, and we will continue to do more if we do not.

下面,记录的是比特币踏浪策略每一次开平仓信息,欢迎持续观察:

The following is a record of every time the bitcoin stomping strategy is levelled, and continuous observation is welcome:


文本,再次提醒所有的投资者,除了正确的策略(少亏多赚),更重要的是心态的修养(不以盈悦,不以亏悲),往往错误的投资都是心态上的不够冷静,而非策略,因为,一个最简单的EMA22策略,就可以让沉得住气的冷静投资者,在大多数金融市场里,获得稳健的持续性收益。

Text, once again, reminds all investors that, in addition to the right strategy (less, less, more) and, more importantly, the healing of mindsets (not with pleasure, not with grief)

只是,大多数投资者,都不拥有“冷静”的技能。

is just that most investors do not have the skills to be calm.

(投资有风险,入市需谨慎。本文提及的所有内容都仅作为自用学习参考,不作为任何实际的投资建议和指导。)

(Investments are risky and market entry requires caution. All references in this paper are used only as a reference for self-use learning and are not used as any practical investment advice or guidance.

作者:币圈交易狗,专注主流币多空策略研究。

author:

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