这个周末，比特币冲高回落，现跌回5.6万美元。比特币是从1万美元拉上来的，所以，它将来跌回2万美元都有可能。只要美联储将来因恶性通货膨胀而被迫提前加息，凡事都有可能。
By the end of the week, Bitcoin fell back and fell back to US$ 56,000. bitcoin came from , so it could fall back to US$ 20,000. Anything is possible if the Fed is forced to raise interest early in the future because of hyperinflation.
比特币是一种投机性很强的资产，它不能新高，不断新高，就会让部分投机的资金卖出，利润落袋。所以，比特币无法回到6万美元，它就有失守5.5万美元的风险。如果跌破5.5万美元，就会在5-5.5万美元间震荡，接着，就会失守5万美元。
bitcoin is a highly speculative asset that cannot be new and new, and that will sell part of the speculative funds and lose profits. , so that Bitcoin cannot return to $60,000, it runs the risk of losing $55,000. If you break down $55,000, there will be a shock of $5-55 million, followed by a loss of $50,000.
比特币其实与TSLA，PYPL和SQ等都捆绑在一起，比特币如果失守5万美元，特斯拉等虚高个股都会跟着回吐，进而引发美股的大回调。
Bitcoin is actually tied up with TSLA, PYPL and SQ, and if bitcoin loses $50,000, vanquished shares such as Tesla will come back and throw up, triggering a big return from the United States.
所以，猜美股走势，看两个指标：美债收益率，比特币的走势。
So, 美股标普500，它现在的年股息率只有1.49%，而十年期美债收益率则已回到1.73%。 而且，下周美债收益率可能会回到1.8%，甚至会摸到1.9%。这样，美股标普500的回调压力就非常大。 Moreover, next week the rate of return on US debt may return to 1.8 per cent, or even 1.9 per cent, so that the pressure on US$500 will be very high. 最近这波，华尔街将美股拉起来，关键还是要收割美国年轻人福利支票的韭菜。 "Strong" recently, Wall Street pulls up the fair share, but it's still about picking up American young people's welfare checks. 在福利支票签出之前，美国那边预测美国年轻人会投入400亿美元到比特币和美股。而福利支票签出之后，美国那边统计，有568亿美元流入美股。 Before the welfare check was signed, the American side predicted that US youth would invest $40 billion in bitcoins and shares. After the welfare check was signed, the US side counted $56.8 billion in US shares. 就是说，这一波傻钱已经被收割。接下来，就没有那么多傻钱了。 "strange" means this stupid money has been harvested. Next thing you know, there's no more stupid money. 春节过后，A股抱团股散架，关键是：基金经理们跑得快，镰刀割镰刀。春节前，他们是拉高割高位定投买基的基民，以及跟风抱团股的散户的韭菜。 After the Spring Festival, the A Group broke up, and the key was that the fund managers ran fast and the sickle cut. Before the Spring Day, they were the base-man who cut high and set up the base, as well as the dumplings of the Winding Group Unit. 春节过后，韭零后基民韭菜，打开手机一片绿绿。 After the Spring Festival, the cellular phone was turned on green and green. 这个套路，马上就会在美股上演。华尔街是割韭菜的老师傅，比陆家嘴的镰刀锋利多了。 This set of paths will soon be played in the United States. Wall Street is the master of cutting vegetables. It's much sharper than the sickle of Lui's mouth. 如截图，当前美股标普500的市盈率逼近40倍，是历史中位数14.85倍的近3倍。所有懂美股的人，也就是华尔街100%的从业人员，都知道这是个大泡沫。 As a screenshot, 3月上旬，美国已有1亿人注射了疫苗。所以，最近拜登在登机空军一号的时候，三连跌，美国人也只不过当它是个段子，没有小题大做。关键是：拜登的人，防疫工作很到位。 Early in March, 100 million people were vaccinated in the United States. So, recently, when Biden boarded Air Force One, it fell three times, and the Americans were just a part of it. There was no big deal. 好的美国总统，就像空气那样，几乎不存在。小布什当年，美国人有个纪录片，说切尼副总统是布什的大脑《Bush's Brain》。拜登只要有一口气，就不会比憨憨小布什更糟糕。 A good president of the United States, like the air, is almost non-existent. In George W. Bush, the Americans had a documentary that said that Vice President Cheney was Bush's brain, Bush's Brain. Biden would never be worse than George W. Bush. 拜登的三连跌，预示着：美股即将大跌。 Biden's three-thousands fell, premonitioning that America's share was about to fall. 疫情结束，福利支票就没了。此时，华尔街不镰刀割镰刀，更待何时？ The outbreak is over and the welfare check is gone. At this point, Wall Street is a sickle cutter, and when is it? 而且，疫情结束后，拜登税要一步一步落实了。华尔街的人，都知道。他们有公式可以算出，拜登的这个税落地后，美股的合理估值是多少。那个税落地后，美股的合理估值是多少。 And, at the end of the strong epidemic, the Biden tax will be implemented one step at a time. Everyone on Wall Street knows it. They have a formula to figure out what the fair value of the US share is when Biden's tax falls. After that tax falls, what is the fair value of the US share? 另外，美国通胀失控后，美联储势必会措手不及。然后，还有一个加息对美股的打压。 Moreover, the Fed will be surprised when inflation in the United States is out of control. Then there will be an additional interest on the US stock. 所以说，比特币涨不动了，应该是一个重大信号，可能美股随时会大回调。 So, 镰刀撤退的时候，是不会通知韭菜的。 And when the sickle retreats, it does not inform the pickles.
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