文章内容较多，认真读完后，你将会有意想不到的收获！
There's more in the article, and when you read it carefully, you'll find something you can't imagine!
作为在币圈炒币交易的投机者，大多都是抱着快速致富的目的来到这个市场。但是真正能够在这个市场上稳定获利的人，往往都有自己的交易系统。交易系统之所以称为交易系统，是因为它是一套完整的交易解决方案。设计良好的交易系统，必须对投资决策的各个相关环节做出相应明确的规定。这种规定必须是客观的、唯一的，不允许有任何不同的解释。它必须符合使用者的心理、投资标的的状况以及资金的风险管理要求。
Most of the speculators who trade currency in currency circles come to the market for the purpose of rapid enrichment. But those who are able to make a real profit in this market often have their own trading system. The trading system is called the trading system because it is a complete trade solution.
我们身边有很多系统，比如windows系统、IOS系统、安卓系统、MAC系统。这里用苹果的IOS手机操作系统举例，我们都知道它的功能是十分强大而且非常全面的。它不但自带功能强大的软件，并且支持其他外部软件安装，多样化功能体现得淋漓尽致。比如说在币圈我们常用的软件，非小号我们可以用来看各种币的相关信息，okex、火币、币安这些是我们常用的交易所。aicoin是我们常用的划线工具等等。这些系统功能不仅全面，而且用户体验极佳。
We have a lot of systems around us, like the Windows, the IOS, the Andre, the MAC. Here, for example, the IOS mobile phone operating system with apples, we all know it is powerful and comprehensive. It not only carries its own powerful software, but also supports the installation of other external software, with its diversity. For example, in the currency circles, we can look at the relevant information on various currencies, kex, coins, currency security, and so on. These systems are not only comprehensive, but have excellent user experience.
其实这就是一个系统，几乎解决了我们能想到的在币圈炒币的各个需求，也能解决我们可能遇到的问题。
In fact, it's a system that almost solves all the demands that we can think of in currency circles, as well as the problems that we may encounter.
之所以系统重要，是因为它还有另外一个原因。系统性的应对方案比信手拈来的随机应变有着绝对优势。一套适合你的交易系统是成功交易的必要条件。
The system is important because it has another reason. A systemic response has an absolute advantage over a random response. A trading system that suits you is a sine qua non for a successful transaction.
这个交易系统并不是一成不变的，而是适合你自己的，有完善的交易思想、细致的盘面分析和具体操作方案的。在风险市场的赢家都有自己的交易系统，因此寻找适合自己的交易系统与完善自己的交易系统，是专业交易者的一生几乎每天都在重复的一件事。
This trading system is not static; it is appropriate for yourself, with sound trading thinking, detailed desk analysis, and specific operational options. Winners in risk markets have their own trading systems, so finding their own trading systems and perfecting their own trading systems is one thing that professional traders repeat almost every day of their lives.
交易系统是什么？
What's the trading system?
交易系统是什么？交易系统是一套完整的交易规则体系。设计良好的交易系统，必须对投资决策的各个相关环节做出相应明确的规定。这种规定必须是客观的、唯一的，不允许有任何不同的解释。它必须符合使用者的心理、投资标的的状况以及资金的风险管理要求。
A well-designed trading system must clearly define all relevant aspects of investment decision-making accordingly. Such a requirement must be objective, exclusive and not subject to any different interpretation. It must be consistent with the user’s psychology, the status of the subject matter of the investment and the risk management requirements of the funds.
交易系统的优点在于它的完整和客观保证了交易结果的可重复性。从理论上来说，对任何使用者而言，如果使用条件完全相同，则操作结果完全相同。系统的可重复性即是方法的科学性，系统交易方法属于科学型的投资交易方法。
The advantage of a trading system is that its integrity and objectivity guarantee the replicability of transaction results. In theory, for any user, if the terms of use are identical, the results are identical.
大部分投资者往往把决策的重点放在对市场的分析和判断上，这是有失偏颇的。成功的投资不但需要正确的市场分析，而且需要正确的风险管理和心态。三者之间心态最为重要，其次是风险管理，最后才是分析技能，即所谓的3M系统(Mind、Money、Market)。
Successful investment requires not only sound market analysis, but also sound risk management and mindsets. The mindset is most important between the three, followed by risk management, and finally the analytical skills known as the 3M system (Mind, Money, Market).
如果用一个比方来形容，对市场的盘面分析在一笔成功的交易中最多只占30%。被大多数交易者忽略的东西，才是投资行为中的决定性因素。市场分析是管理的前提，只有从正确的市场分析出发，才能建立起具有价值的交易系统，风险管理才能发挥其最大效用，而心态正是两者的联系桥梁和纽带。一个人如果心态不好，则往往会偏离严谨的市场分析方法，以主观愿望代替客观分析，也常常会忘记风险管理。
By way of example, market panorama analysis accounts for only 30 per cent of a successful transaction. What is overlooked by most traders is the decisive factor in investment behaviour. Market analysis is a regulatory premise.
交易者若想持续稳定地盈利，必须解决这两大问题：
If traders are to continue to make steady profits, these two issues must be addressed:
(1)如何在高度随机的市场价格波动中寻找非随机的部分；
(1) How to find non-random components in highly random market price fluctuations;
(2)如何有效地控制自身的心理弱点，让自己的理性决策得以执行。
(2) How to effectively control their psychological weaknesses so that their rational decision-making can be implemented.
很多投资者的实践都证明，交易系统在上述两方面都是交易者的有力助手。
The practice of many investors has shown that trading systems are powerful assistants to traders in both of these respects.
大多数新手在进入市场的时候，对市场的认识没有系统的观点。很多交易者根据对市场的某种认识，就片面地承认或否认一种交易方式的可行性。如果要确定某个交易方式是否可行，必须要通过大量的数据统计来计算和判断，并不是简简单单地主观判断就可以的。在设计我们自己的交易系统的时候会考虑各个方面，每一种可能发生的情况，以及对于出现的交易信号的判断和评价方法，都可以帮助交易者更加理性地评价一个交易方式的优劣。多一些客观，少一些盲目。
Most newcomers, when entering the market, do not have a systematic view of the market. Many traders, based on a certain understanding of the market, recognize or deny the viability of a transaction method one-sidedly. If it is to be determined whether a transaction is feasible, it must be calculated and judged by a large amount of statistical data, not simply by subjective judgement.
交易系统还可以帮助投资者有效地控制风险。实践证明，不使用交易系统的投资人，难以准确而系统地控制风险。没有交易系统做指导时，投资者很难评估每次交易所承担的风险，和交易对于账户整体的影响。而交易系统的使用，可以明确地告诉投资者每次交易的预期利润率、预期损失金额、预期最大亏损等，这些都是投资风险管理的重要参数。
A trading system can also help investors to manage risk effectively. Investors who do not use a trading system have proven to be difficult to control risk accurately and systematically. Without guidance from a trading system, it is difficult for investors to assess the risks involved in each transaction and the impact of the transaction on the account as a whole.
帮助交易者有效地克服心理弱点，让交易者面对市场时有更好的心态，可能是交易系统的最大作用。交易系统使交易决策的过程更加程序化、公开化、理性化。交易者可以从由情绪支配的模糊状态的选择转变为有理有据的选择状态，即单纯判定信号在我们交易系统中的优劣，以及执行信号所预设的交易策略。
Helping traders to overcome their psychological weaknesses effectively by allowing traders to face markets with a better mindset may be the greatest effect of the trading system. The trading system makes the decision-making process more procedural, open, and rational. Dealers can shift from an emotionally dominated ambiguity to a rational choice, i.e. a simple determination of the quality of the signal in our trading system, and the execution of the transaction strategy envisaged by the signal.
完整的交易系统包含：
The complete trading system consists of:
(1)标的——交易什么；
(1) The subject matter - what is the transaction;
(2)仓位——持仓多少；
(2) Positions - how much warehouses are held;
(3)方向——多还是空；
(3) Direction - more or less empty;
(4)入场点——在什么点位交易；
(4) Entry point - at which point the transaction is to take place;
(5)止损 ——何时退出亏损的交易；
(5) cessation of loss - when to withdraw from a transaction in loss;
(6)止盈——何时退出盈利的交易；
(6) cessation of surplus - when to withdraw from a profit-making transaction;
(7)对策——如何应对突发情况；
(7) Response - how to respond to emergencies;
(8)后手——交易结束之后的操作。
(8) Backhand - operations after the conclusion of the transaction.
1.1 标的——交易什么
1.1 subject -- deal what
第一项决策是买卖什么产品，是现货还是合约？或者本质上在何种市场进行交易？如果你只在1个市场中进行交易，你就大大减少了获取盈利的机会。而且，如果一个市场的交易量太少或者趋势不明朗，我建议观望为主，而不要轻易就进场。因为进去容易，出来难。下单可能只要点一下就可以了，但是长时间的被套是我们任何人都不愿意看到的。
The first decision is whether to buy or sell a product, whether on the spot or on the contract? Or, essentially, in what market? If you trade in only one market, you significantly reduce the chances of earning a profit. And, if the volume of a market is too small or the trend is not clear, I suggest that we look ahead rather than go in easily. Because it's easy to get in, it's hard to get out.
有人对现货有抵触，认为行情太坑；也有人对期货有抵触，认为有杠杆，风险太大。但是你却没有思考是否可以用现货和合约配合使用，也就现货合约配平。
There is resistance to the spot; there is resistance to the future, too much leverage, too much risk. But you do not wonder whether the spot and the contract can be used in combination, so that the spot contract is set.
当然，更重要的是在我看来，任何市场都有可以做的时候，我们不要轻易放弃一个市场，也不要死盯着一个市场，太过固执。举个例子，如果现货市场下跌，那我们在现货市场上吞币是一件可取的事情，这里要说明，首先你所持的币种，一定是主流币，并且你坚信后市能涨回来。如果不是，在现货市场，可能就没有利润操作了。但这个时候合约市场就给了我们不错的盈利空间。
Of course, and more importantly, it seems to me that when any market has something to do, let us not simply abandon a market, or stare at a market, too stubbornly. For example, if the spot market falls, it is desirable that we swallow money in the spot market, which means, first of all, that the currency you hold must be the mainstream currency, and you are convinced that the post-market will rise back.
“股神”巴菲特是投资的好能手，但是他不局限于美股，在港股上也有所斩获，比如买入比亚迪和中石油，而且还在2015年抄底当时暴跌的原油，半年不到原油又翻了一倍，不禁赞叹：股神就是股神！有好的机会绝对不会错过。“金融大鳄”索罗斯，成名是1998年金融危机，横扫东南亚各国货币。量子基金在外汇市场简直如传说一般神奇。但是索罗斯不仅仅只做外汇，他在期货和股票市场同样表现不俗。
“George” Buffett is a good investment player, but he is not limited to the US, but he has earned some money in the port, such as buying Biadi and China oil, and also doubled the crude oil at the end of the year, six months later than half a year. He is a connoisseur! A good opportunity will never be missed. “Financial Crocodile” Soros, known as the 1998 financial crisis, swept South-East Asian currencies.
所以我希望大家不要拘泥于某个市场，也不要随便放弃某个市场，我们每天只要多花几分钟的时间看看相关的走势和新闻就可以了解大致的行情。这样做一是不会让我们对某个市场生疏，二是如果发现有好的机会可以随时杀回去。
So I want you to stay out of a market, or just give up a market, and we'll spend a few more minutes per day looking at the trends and news, and we'll know what's going on. One way to do this is not to let us get alienated from a market, and the other way around if we find out we have a good chance.
在一个市场行情低迷的时候，我的建议是观望，而不是勉强去操作。观望，是指要定时间去看盘的，而不是直接退出。这两者之间的差别是很大的。
At a time when the market is depressed, my advice is to wait, not to try to operate. Waiting, it is to see the plate at a given time, not to withdraw. The difference between the two is great.
目前许多投资者就是做现货，然后现货低迷的时候，就直接撒手不管了，那这样的话行情起来的时候你也未必能把握住。“机会是给有准备的人的”，如果你连介入的准备都没有做，谈何翻身呢？
At the moment, many investors are on the spot, and when the spot's low, they just drop out, so you don't have to be able to handle it when it comes to getting ready. “The opportunity is for those who are prepared,” if you're not even prepared to step in.
只怕下一次现货的大牛市，你也未必能盈利。
I'm afraid you won't be able to make a profit next time.
1.2 仓位——持仓多少
1.2 Positions -- how much is the warehouse
有关持仓的策略绝对是基本的，然而，通常又是容易被大多数交易者曲解。持仓量既影响多样化，又影响资金管理。多样化就是努力在诸多投资工具上分散风险，并且通过增加抓住成功交易的机会而增加盈利的机会。正确的多样化要求在多种不同的标的种类上进行类似的交易。
The strategy with regard to warehousing is absolutely basic, but often easily misinterpreted by most traders. Holding stock affects both diversification and financial management. Diversification is an effort to spread risk across a wide range of investment instruments and to increase profitability by increasing opportunities for successful trading.
资金管理的一个重要目的就是为了让交易者不要太过重仓，因为太早就用掉手上的资金是不明智的，我们可能会因为重仓某些垃圾标的而错失买入其他优秀标的良机。
An important purpose of fund management is to keep traders from overstretching, because it is unwise to spend the money in hand too early on and we may miss the opportunity to buy some of the other good ones because we have to reshuffle some of the trash.
持仓量是交易中非常重要的一个方面。我接触的很多新手都喜欢在某一种交易中冒太大的风险。特别是现货交易，因为没有爆仓一说，所以他们肆意妄为地重仓操作。即使他们的交易系统在其他方面都很完美，这也大大增加了他们亏损的机会。
Possession is one of the most important aspects of the deal. Many of the newcomers I've been dealing with tend to take too much risk in one type of transaction. Especially the spot deal, which, because they didn't blow it up, they simply reworked it.
1.3 方向——做多还是做空（买还是卖）
1.3 orientation -- do you buy more or sell more?
方向是我们能否盈利的关键因素，如果脱离这一点，那么其他的因素基本上只是在减少亏损，盈利基本上无从谈起了。不过话说回来，不是说你判断错了方向就没有可能盈利，也不是说你判断对了方向就一定会盈利。交易永远是一个没有确定性的事情，在这个层面上多或者空没有绝对的正确与错误，只是我们应该遵循自己的交易系统给的方向，哪怕它连续亏损了几次，也不能就此证明你的交易系统是失败的。
The direction is the key to our profitability, and if we get away from it, the other factors are basically merely reducing the loss, and the profit is basically impossible to talk about. But then again, it is not that you can't make a profit by judging the wrong direction, or that you can make a profit by judging the right direction. Trade is always a matter of uncertainty, and there is no absolute right or wrong at this level, except that we should follow the direction given by our own trading system, even if it has suffered several consecutive losses, and that does not prove that your trading system has failed.
一个交易系统在选定周期内对于方向判断的准确性直接影响了交易者的盈亏。在正常的盈亏比之下，我们对于方向的把握不单影响了账户的资金，也同时左右着交易者的心理。
A trading system’s accuracy of directional judgement during the selected cycle directly affects the gains and losses of the traders. Under the normal profit and loss ratio, our grasp of direction affects not only the funds of the accounts, but also the minds of the traders.
1.4 入场点——在什么价位交易
1.4 Entry point - at what price deal
入场点的好坏对我们的交易有着巨大的影响。完整的交易系统应该有细节是关于如何进场的，这些细节约束着我们的交易，同时也优化着我们的进场点。
The good and bad of the entry point has a huge impact on our transactions. The complete trading system should have details on how to get in, which binds our transactions and optimizes our entry point.
比如说同样是一个交易信号，A选择收线破位入场，他拿到的点位是1080；B选择等待回调入场，他拿到的点位是1070，那么只差了10，会有什么不同吗？如果行情直接昂头直上，当然没有任何问题。但是如果行情一直徘徊，开始震荡呢？由于价位较好，那么B在1075左右认为行情短期出了点问题，不能持有了，他可以立马平仓出场。不但没有损失而且有一点点盈利。但是A如果要走，1075这个价格他是没有办法获利出局的。这时候A就陷入了两难：走，就要亏钱；不走，就继续套着，而且亏损有可能会扩大，尤其是信号所预期的行情没有第一时间走出来。
For example, it's also a trade signal, A chooses to drop the line, he gets 1080; B chooses to wait for the inbound, he gets 1070, and he gets 1070, so what difference does it make? If you go straight up, of course, there is no problem. But if you do not go up there, it starts shaking. Because of the good price, B thinks that it is a short-term problem and can't hold it, and he can get out. No loss and a little profit. But if A leaves, he has no way of getting out.
入场点的好坏还能够帮助我们提升成倍的利润。在同一个空间里，如果说入场点可以优化X，那么，我们所面临的止损就少X，而盈利就多X，如果我们固定每笔交易的亏损，则可以得到一个公式：
In the same space, if the entry point optimizes X, then we face less X and more X, and if we fix the losses of each transaction, we can get a formula:
P=A×B
其中，P代表利润，A代表固定止损下的仓位，B代表入场点到目标点的点数。如果说，我们优化了我们的入场点，那么A会变大，B也会变大，此时，P就是几何倍数般的增长！
Among them, P represents profit, A represents a fixed loss of position, B represents a point of entry to the target point. If we optimize our entry point, then A becomes bigger, and B becomes bigger, and then P is a geometric multiplier increase!
举个例子，如果我们本来要止损的点位是40个点，目标点位（止盈点位）是60个点，但是由于我们的耐心等待，我们拿到了只要20个点的止损的入场位。此时，我们的仓位A翻了一倍；我们的盈利空间B，是增长了33%，那么综合算下来：
By way of example, if we were to stop the damage at 40 points and the target at 60 points, but because of our patience, we were given a cut-off entry of only 20 points. At this point, our warehouse position A has doubled; our profit space B has increased by 33 per cent.
P'=2A×1.33B=2.66P
也就说，如果交易顺利，我们的获利将是之前较差入场点的2.66倍。关于入场点优劣的具体细节，我在后面的章节中会详细介绍。
In other words, if the deal goes well, our profits will be 2.66 times as high as the previous disadvantageous entry point. Details about the advantages and disadvantages of the entry point will be detailed in the section that follows.
1.5 止损——何时退出亏损的持仓
1.5 Stop losses - when to exit the loss holding
长期来看，不会止损的交易员注定会失败。能扛过来的毕竟是少数，多数是扛不住而选择割肉的。但是我感觉让别人割肉是最难的，反而告诉一个被套的人让他继续持有他会很高兴。一旦被深套，想要解套的话没有一定的“壮士断腕”的勇气是不行的。通常被深套发生在现货，因为没有爆仓风险，所以很多人喜欢硬扛。原本计划的短线变中线，中线变长线，而且有人会选择用“摊薄成本”法来低位加仓，以便于自己的解套。这类人如果在股市上可能会更加牛X，他可能超过了长线的范畴，而进阶成“股东”……
In the long run, the traders are doomed to fail. After all, the few who can do it, most of whom cannot handle it, choose to cut meat. But I feel it's the hardest to let someone else cut meat, and I tell a man who has been conned that he will be happy to keep it. It's not possible to have the courage to break his wrist if he wants to get it out. It's usually done in the off-the-shelf, because there's no risk of a blowout, so a lot of people like to do it.
如果我们按照交易系统来操作的话，其实止损应该在我们入场之前就已经设定好了。没有止损，交易是无法进行的。有持仓，就必须有止损！
If we operate according to the trading system, the damage should have been set by the time we entered. The transaction cannot proceed without the damage. If there is a hold, there must be an end to the damage!
1.6 止盈——何时退出盈利的持仓
1.6 Restraint — When to withdraw from profitable holdings
何时盈利平仓的问题对于收益是至关重要的。
The question of when profits would level out is crucial for the returns.
市场有的时候很小气，说到前高就到前高，一个点都不给；有的时候有很大气，突破前高之后一路飙升，马不停蹄！我们的交易系统说到底是死的，但是市场却是无常的，它可以随心所欲地走出任何走势，完全不用考虑任何问题。但是我们不行。我们要想在这个不确定的市场盈利，就应该有一套确定的、稳定的盈利模式。
There are times when markets are weak, when they say they're high, and they don't give a single thing; there are times when there is a lot of gas, when they go up after they're high. Our trading system is dead, but the market is erratic, and it can walk out of whatever it wants without considering anything. But we can't. If we want to make a profit in this uncertain market, there should be a definite and stable pattern of profit.
我们通常的目标位都是一些关键位，那么我们的目标位就应该完全等于关键位吗？
Should our target be exactly the same as the key position?
请给市场留一点空间。价格绝大多数时间都会去试探下一个关键位，但问题是它怎么去试探？用何种方式去试探？是正好打到关键位，还是差一点没打到就拐头，还是突破关键位？这是我们不得而知的。所以，我们要留一点空间给市场，以便我们在市场走势对我们最不利的时候，我们也能够顺利离场。
Please leave some room for the market. Most of the time the price is going to test the next key, but the question is how is it going to test? How is it going to test it?
说白了，不管对于止损还是止盈，我们都应该考虑最悲观的情况。
To be clear, we should take into account the most pessimistic situations, whether for damage or gain.
1.7 对策——应对如何突发情况
1.7 Response - How to respond to an emergency
一笔普通的交易无非是：入场—出场。但是往往有很多突发情况或者我们没有考虑到的情况发生。比如说，我们在持仓期间又看到了一个信号，这个信号所指的方向和我们入场的信号相左，此时我们该如何操作？是减仓，还是直接平仓？或者说直接反手进场？又或者干脆无视？这些都是我们在日常交易中很容易发生的情况，交易者对此应该要慎重地考虑，并且在自己的交易系统中加入对这些情况的操作准则。
An ordinary transaction is the right thing to do: enter – out – but there are often many contingencies or situations that we do not take into account. For example, when we see another signal during a warehouse, the direction of which is different from that of our entry, how do we operate at this point?
我们的交易不会永远一帆风顺，遇到困难在所难免。请记住：突发情况会一直伴随着市场，想要泰然处之就必须事先做好应对方案，而不是临时抱佛脚。
Our deal is not going to be smooth forever, and difficulties are inevitable. Remember that the market will always be accompanied by an unexpected situation, and it will be necessary to deal with it in advance, not in a temporary fashion.
1.8 后手——交易结束之后的操作
1.8 Backhand - operations after the transaction has ended
后手，是指交易结束之后的操作。通常情况下我们一笔单子离场就说明到了一个临界点：要么多转空，要么空转多；或者是我们认为盈利空间已经到底了，所以我们选择离场。其实认真想想，我们离场的时候，可能是另一个不错的入场点。此时我们是否要采取行动，或者要不要结合之前的交易来进行评判分析，应该加以思索。
The back hand is the operation after the transaction has ended. Usually, we get a critical point: either we have more or more of a single exit, or we think the profit space is gone, so we choose to leave. In fact, when we leave, it may be another good entry point. At this point, it is important to think about whether we should take action or whether we should make a critical analysis in conjunction with previous transactions.
如果我们的一张多单拿到了前高位置，顺利止盈出场。而此时，价格开始拐头向下，那我们要不要考虑进空单呢？
If we've got more than one of our tops, and we're getting better and better. And at this point, the price starts to turn downwards, do we want to think about the blanks?
或者我们进场了一张空单，结果价格往上走，创了新高，我们止损出局。这个时候，其实价格的多头已经表现得很明显了，那是不是要考虑多单入场？
Or we're in the middle of an empty list, and the price goes up, it goes up, we're in the middle of it. At this point, the price is already quite obvious.
一套完整的交易系统，应该包含着详细的后手准则。特别是止损之后，大家的心态很容易变坏，出现报复式的反手操作，结果来回被洗，苦不堪言！
A complete trading system should contain detailed back-to-back guidelines. Especially after the damage is stopped, everyone's mentality can easily get worse, retaliatory back-to-back, and it turns out to be washed back and forth.
文章转自：https://www.boooyeee.com/post/1.html
Source: https://www.boooyeee.com/post/1.html
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