摘要:BTC 的实现波动率正接近多年来的低点,建议投资者理性投资
&msp; Summary: BTC Achieving Volatility is approaching lows over the years, recommending rational investment by investors
正文:
main text:
Matrixport 研究院最新研究显示,近期关注重点为:
&msp; Matrixport recent research by the Institute shows that the focus of recent attention is:
● BTC 的实现波动率正接近多年来的低点,期权投资或当时
& msp; &msp; nsp; BTC the rate of realization of volatility is approaching the low point of many years, with option investment or at the time
● SEC 批准S-1申请几率较大,ETH 现货持仓量激增
nsp; SEC high rate of approval of S-1 applications, ETH surge in spot holdings
● BTC 期权交易显现看涨情绪,2025年市场上涨预期升温
nsp; BTC options trading shows a rising mood and market rise is expected in 2025
市场进入夏季盘整阶段,波动率的下降使投资者可以以较低成本购买期权,而不必承担过大的市场风险。法币到加密货币的兑换需求信号有所减弱,预示可能迎来一段平静时期,而错失恐惧(FOMO)情绪也相对较低。因此,投资者应采取理性的定位策略。
&msp; entering the summer phase of the market, with a drop in volatility that allows investors to buy options at a lower cost than to take excessive market risks. The signal of demand for exchange between French and encrypted currencies has weakened, presaged a period of calm and a relatively low level of fear. Therefore, investors should adopt a rational positioning strategy.
BTC 的实现波动率正接近多年来的低点,期权投资或当时
& msp;
比特币的实现波动率正接近多年来的低点。一年前,当波动率降至类似水平时, Matrix on Target 建议投资者可以利用期权来表达其观点,同时将大部分加密资产投资于收益稳定的国债型稳定币中。
Bitcoin is approaching the lows of many years. A year ago, when the volatility fell to similar levels, Matrix on Target and it was suggested that investors could use options to express their views, while investing most of the encrypted assets in debt-stable currencies with stable returns.
SEC 批准S-1申请几率较大,ETH 现货持仓量激增
& msp;
截至5月23日,SEC已正式批准了八家资产管理公司提交的19b-4申请。这些公司申请在美国交易所上市和交易以太坊ETF,但尚未完成S-1注册声明。因此,以太坊期货的持仓量从75亿美元激增至130亿美元,资金费率年化增至27%。
&msp; as of 23 May, SEC has officially approved applications for 19b-4 from eight asset management companies. These companies have applied for listing and trading on the United States Exchange with Etheria ETF, but have not yet completed the S-1 registration statement. As a result, the stock held in taewan futures has increased from $7.5 billion to $13 billion, and the funding rate has increased to 27% annually.
虽然最佳的市场时期往往是产品推出(或上市)之前即将获得SEC批准阶段,但往往在产品上市后会看到抛售行为,例如2017年12月的比特币期货上市、2021年4月的Coinbase IPO、2021年10月基于期货的比特币ETF以及2024年1月的比特币现货ETF的情况皆是如此。
&msp; while the best market period is often the forthcoming approval phase of the SEC before the product is introduced (or listed), the sale is often seen after the product is marketed, for example in Bitcoin futures listed in December 2017, Coinbase&ensp in April 2021, IPO, Bitcoin ETF based in October 2021, and Bitcoin spot ETF in January 2024.
不过,市场认为 SEC 将很快批准S-1申请,并且ETH ETF将在今年7月至9月间上市。一旦夏季盘整期结束,市场将迎来另一波看涨行情。谨慎的投资者可以利用低波动率环境通过期权保护其投资组合,或者购买看涨期权来获取策略性上涨,同时利用主流加密货币的风险敞口获取 “无风险 ”收益。
&msp; however, the market believes &anssp; SEC S-1 applications will be approved soon and ETH ETF will be listed between July and September this year. Once the summer season is over, the market will be able to see another boom. Prudent investors can use a low-volatility environment to protect their portfolio through options, or buy a forward-looking option to obtain tactical increases, while taking advantage of the risk exposure of mainstream encrypted currencies to &nsp; “Riskless & ensp;” gains.
比特币期权交易显现看涨情绪,与 BTC 价格走势背离
bitcoin options show a rising mood with BTC price movement away from
BTC 在过去 24 小时内下跌超过 1%,至 64,500 美元(数据截止至21日2PM)。但 QCP Capital 表示,过去 24 小时内大量购买 12 月和 3 月到期、行权价为 90,000 至 100,000 美元的期权,表明市场正在触底,并为可能持续到 2025 年的反弹做准备。期权市场的看涨情绪与比特币价格走势背离,尤其在长期市场上,显示出投资者对未来价格上涨的预期。
&msp; & BTC&enssp; past 24 decline over 1%, to &nsp; 64,500 US dollar (data up to 2PM 21); but &nsp; QCP&enssp; Capital indication of past &enssp; 24&enssp; substantial purchase of &ansp; 12 months and &nsp; 3&enssp; monthly maturity, foot price &nsp; 90,000&nsp; & & &nsp; US dollar options, which indicate that the market is falling low and is likely to continue to &nsp; 2025 &enssp; year-on-year rebound preparedness.
上述部分观点来自Matrix on Target, 与我们联系获取Matrix on Target完整报告。
&msp; some of the above points are from Matrix on & ensp; Target, & ensp; contacting us for Matrix on & ensp; Target full report.
免责声明:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成投资建议。数字资产交易可能具有极大的风险和不稳定性。投资决策应在仔细考虑个人情况并咨询金融专业人士后做出。Matrixport 不对基于本内容所提供信息的任何投资决策负责。
&msp; Disclaimer: The market is risky and investments need to be prudent. This does not constitute an investment recommendation. Digital asset transactions can be extremely risky and unstable. Investment decisions should be made after careful consideration of personal circumstances and consultation with financial professionals.
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